TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b2…0566

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$1,027.35
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+37%+$27.1
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$101.62
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$195.52
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56.31
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+81.8%+$26
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$312.83
Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150.91
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$99.25
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+212.5%+$548.08
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$42.14
Rockets vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.52
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.46
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$252.38
Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.66
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$220.58
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.19
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$71.22
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.48
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$150.61
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$48.18
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$28.84
Packers vs. Giants: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50.38
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$101.5
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$300.06
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$131.08
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$259.07
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$64.85
49ers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$163.4
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$24.44
Spread: Ravens (-6.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$285.13
49ers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$126.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$43.05
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$127.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.