Serie A · resolved market
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad0f4d8af256707312be322089072b1d17c5cbe3f486844c19198b1b2a54922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 10c | 13,390$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.03 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 76c | 6,721$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.35 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 10c | 5,400$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 5,050$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 10c | 4,513$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.3 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 10c | 3,603$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.34 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 10c | 2,900$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 8c | 1,085$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 12c | 947.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 26c | 707$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 10c | 604.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 11c | 466.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…4c6fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 9c | 440$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 11c | 360.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 26c | 329$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 24c | 302.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 27c | 295$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cb…762fbacked Yes | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 9c | 254.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 27c | 200.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…0566backed Yes | 10c | 194.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521a…043abacked Yes | 10c | 118.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…4b40backed Yes | 11c | 98.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 11c | 94.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Yes | 12c | 92.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 14c | 88.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 14c | 78.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 78c | 41.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 29.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Como 1907 vs. US Lecce end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.