Serie A · resolved market
Will Como 1907 vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ad2673a2ba7fd99078ff3e05f02b238cb7d764f98c7d0c3cab467bf07bf8eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33df…337dbacked Yes | 0c | 91,984$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 22,924$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.36 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 73c | 5,908$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.23 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 1,820$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 1,354$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 1,004$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 79c | 989.05$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 80c | 969.58$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.15 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 951.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.85 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…5cbebacked Yes | 2c | 839.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 2c | 750.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 24c | 551$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 526$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 503.81$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 277.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 21c | 124$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 30c | 80.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 26c | 71.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 29c | 46.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 29.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 79c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 77c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 18.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 77c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 80c | 13.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.52 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como 1907 vs. US Lecce end in a draw?this page
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.