UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72138523fa7d0aa0098323360b0c99040de7adf163f06329b7f02fe89cf9ede
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Greenof Green, Zellhuber
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $373,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Green | 24c | 75,086$18,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,065.37 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Zellhuber | 75c | 52,777$39,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,610.14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Green | 24c | 44,602$10,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,956.49 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Zellhuber | 76c | 35,000$26,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,600 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Green | 22c | 34,297$7,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,906.26 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Zellhuber | 78c | 28,471$22,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,280.29 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Zellhuber | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Zellhuber | 76c | 17,153$13,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,036.28 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Zellhuber | 79c | 15,200$12,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,007.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Zellhuber | 76c | 14,000$10,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,640 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…02b2backed Green | 22c | 10,094$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,843.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Zellhuber | 76c | 10,043$7,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,632.21 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Green | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Green | 24c | 10,000$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,601.28 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Zellhuber | 77c | 9,783$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Green | 24c | 7,792$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900.09 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Zellhuber | 49c | 6,211$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.69 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Green | 20c | 6,156$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.86 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Green | 49c | 5,664$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.11 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Zellhuber | 7c | 5,004$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.99 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Zellhuber | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Green | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Zellhuber | 79c | 4,842$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.32 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Green | 25c | 4,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Zellhuber | 78c | 4,493$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Zellhuber | 69c | 4,064$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Green | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Green | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Green | 25c | 4,000$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Green | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Zellhuber | 76c | 3,947$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Zellhuber | 76c | 3,732$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.55 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Zellhuber | 76c | 3,655$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…b1a9backed Green | 25c | 3,296$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Zellhuber | 49c | 3,179$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.56 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Green | 55c | 3,004$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.19 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Zellhuber | 76c | 2,745$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.48 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Green | 61c | 2,584$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Zellhuber | 77c | 2,551$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Zellhuber | 51c | 2,370$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Green | 40c | 2,334$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.83 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Green | 51c | 2,329$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Green | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.73 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Zellhuber | 49c | 2,258$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.38 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Zellhuber | 51c | 2,228$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.24 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Zellhuber | 50c | 2,200$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.08 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Green | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.08 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Green | 47c | 2,034$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.24 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Zellhuber | 76c | 2,021$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.59 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Zellhuber | 48c | 2,018$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.18 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Green | 41c | 2,011$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.38 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Zellhuber | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Green | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Green | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…dbeabacked Zellhuber | 45c | 1,786$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Green | 22c | 1,750$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Green | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Zellhuber | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Zellhuber | 76c | 1,445$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.75 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Zellhuber | 76c | 1,318$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Zellhuber | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Green | 46c | 1,301$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.23 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Zellhuber | 52c | 1,298$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.24 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Zellhuber | 51c | 1,248$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.39 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…b2a1backed Green | 36c | 1,209$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.62 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Zellhuber | 76c | 1,173$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.74 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Zellhuber | 68c | 1,109$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Green | 49c | 1,003$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.51 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Zellhuber | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Green | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Zellhuber | 76c | 914$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.64 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Green | 20c | 900$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Green | 39c | 897.53$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Zellhuber | 62c | 887.5$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.23 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…db86backed Green | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Green | 40c | 808$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.9 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Zellhuber | 76c | 800$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Green | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Zellhuber | 76c | 799.99$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Green | 25c | 780.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Zellhuber | 78c | 704.1$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.54 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Green | 24c | 667.48$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Green | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Zellhuber | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Green | 56c | 595.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Zellhuber | 76c | 580$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.8 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…caa8backed Zellhuber | 79c | 528.98$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.29 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Zellhuber | 72c | 526.59$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.14 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…c45dbacked Green | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Green | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Zellhuber | 76c | 486.84$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Green | 42c | 477.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Zellhuber | 64c | 450$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Green | 46c | 433.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Zellhuber | 77c | 425$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Green | 47c | 419.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.31 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Green | 24c | 416$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.16 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a28bbacked Green | 33c | 401.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Green | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Green | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Daniel Zellhuber win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will King Green win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.