TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a35…2fadbacked Over50c147,528$73,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,512.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Over52c62,439$32,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,354.9619553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Under50c50,035$25,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,017.435764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c48,975$23,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,199.4586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Under50c35,936$17,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,964.0233553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Under51c26,411$13,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,015.4631350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c25,056$12,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,726.581,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under49c20,000$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,30017348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under51c15,438$7,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,572.6244652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Under51c13,312$6,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,585.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Under50c10,213$5,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,106.324637%17 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90020634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Under50c9,386$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,693.1210061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over49c6,974$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,443.6724056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over50c6,000$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d0…f5f6backed Over52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c4,500$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.3751352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22c…9050backed Over52c4,400$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2882842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Over51c4,333$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.8218044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Under49c3,501$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.5541248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Over41c3,210$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.2641947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Over51c2,983$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53111744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over51c2,451$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25012249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15b…252ebacked Over51c2,050$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Under50c1,848$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.195248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Over51c1,617$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Under62c1,612$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.663565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Under50c1,496$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74812352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c1,444$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72231450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over50c1,294$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64722450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under48c1,280$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.0861148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1592…8959backed Over46c1,241$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d5…1bb3backed Over50c1,099$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Under49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9939242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc93e…52bfbacked Over52c865.38$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41623647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over51c800$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4047456.8%42 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27d3…0764backed Over51c785.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over49c755.11$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3707526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed Over51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Under51c666.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Over52c624.39$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.6816551.5%85 W · 80 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008736.8%32 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b0…9fb0backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002540%10 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006050%30 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over51c561.78$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5114344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c538$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8526649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+52%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1616351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c372.55$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ed…b35abacked Over51c343.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under48c341.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1283447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c328$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2877052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161c…3b03backed Over50c311.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.75756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Under50c310$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15511156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475339.6%21 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Over52c300$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15523447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15326648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c284$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b4…5c7cbacked Over52c270$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+132.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b2…0566backed Under50c262.15$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c261$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.729855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c243.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10056852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f0…fbeabacked Over51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+72.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b9…3ba6backed Under49c228.48$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.521776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+64.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Over50c201.85$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9119459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009651%49 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72ea…ab9dbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Over51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda2…9bd7backed Over52c194.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over51c190$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.85166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbe97…8e82backed Over53c169.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0c…6825backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810537.1%39 W · 66 L-12.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7813845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1321…2286backed Over48c149.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2791…2791backed Over50c149.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.993060%18 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7059453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b2…4e0cbacked Over52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510174.3%75 W · 26 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56ee…5800backed Under49c101.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa69f…6874backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0f…a394backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…cd29backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Under35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781f…6763backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110454.8%57 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Over12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218427.7%51 W · 133 L-18.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012050.8%61 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe930…99aebacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011650.9%59 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5dd…b094backed Under66c98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.329443.6%41 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6cc…18cebacked Over51c80.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.