TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cardinalsof Cowboys, Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,293,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,302,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,293,910 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Cardinals52c668,268$345,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322,523.8817041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys48c484,861$235,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235,115.947738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Cowboys48c398,248$191,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,161.646248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cardinals53c99,611$52,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,786.5186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cardinals52c80,000$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,399.9931240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Cowboys48c63,863$30,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,650.8222950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Cowboys47c35,213$16,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,550.2527454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cardinals52c31,960$16,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,340.844652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cardinals52c31,882$16,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,322.0225956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cardinals51c20,131$10,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,818.4561148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Cardinals52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Cardinals52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.7714252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Cardinals52c18,200$9,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6546100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Cowboys47c16,861$7,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,924.7711445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Cardinals52c16,000$8,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,68017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Cowboys46c13,167$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00014154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cowboys48c10,188$4,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,890.412144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Cowboys48c10,000$4,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,800.52540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Cardinals52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8007657.9%44 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+134.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Cardinals51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9817348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Cardinals53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.965658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff3c…09ebbacked Cardinals51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,920977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Cardinals52c7,879$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.8833553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Cardinals56c7,200$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200.420661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Cardinals52c5,663$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.2225744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals51c5,588$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,727.321,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Cowboys47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35010552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Cardinals52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Cardinals52c4,937$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.912352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cardinals52c4,444$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.1224056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Cardinals51c4,325$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.683447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Cardinals52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+45.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7189…b454backed Cowboys48c3,493$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.765764.9%37 W · 20 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Cardinals51c3,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4607526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cardinals52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals52c2,770$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.5137350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb00…42e9backed Cowboys48c2,708$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Cardinals52c2,660$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.824456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Cardinals53c2,509$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.434259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Cowboys48c2,082$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.520039.5%79 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Cardinals51c2,019$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.741248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Cardinals52c1,999$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.63735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Cardinals53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.795527.3%15 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e25…043ebacked Cowboys49c1,872$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.422060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals51c1,733$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.0839754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Cowboys47c1,712$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.0331350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Cowboys49c1,651$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8096536.9%24 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cowboys42c1,529$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.4712944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Cardinals53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7053661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Cardinals53c1,497$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.454934.7%17 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Cowboys49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Cardinals52c1,400$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67215044.7%67 W · 83 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cardinals52c1,383$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.229855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Cardinals53c1,332$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.596952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Cardinals52c1,329$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.9665048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd804…821cbacked Cowboys49c1,327$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Cardinals53c1,310$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.541947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals51c1,150$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.611,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Cardinals52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52836246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239a…76e5backed Cardinals53c1,093$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.625457.4%31 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals56c1,061$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.4723647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Cowboys48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.823138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Cowboys49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cardinals52c1,015$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9426649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Cardinals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011446.5%53 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae5…b896backed Cardinals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Cardinals52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4807150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Cowboys47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Cardinals52c999.75$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.888951.7%46 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Cowboys49c959.18$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4705139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc35d…8783backed Cowboys48c908.33$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Cowboys48c906.25$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4354748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cardinals52c901.3$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.6222450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Cowboys49c891.84$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4378747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Cardinals52c832$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.3617251.7%89 W · 83 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ae…84cebacked Cowboys48c831$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a0…be02backed Cowboys49c827.71$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.583464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8354…b291backed Cowboys48c754.17$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3621338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dad…72cfbacked Cardinals53c753.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Cowboys46c684.63$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9334349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c10…a305backed Cowboys48c682.94$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.812944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Cardinals53c641.51$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5111759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Cowboys48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Cowboys48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked Cowboys48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003650%18 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Cardinals52c624$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5215746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc439…1308backed Cowboys48c622.92$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Cardinals53c622.64$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ae…7912backed Cowboys49c612.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Cowboys42c576$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9211254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Cardinals54c555.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5519459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91b2…0566backed Cardinals52c539.72$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.071361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Cowboys49c519$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1211740.2%47 W · 70 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa92…0d27backed Cardinals53c500$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Cowboys48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Cowboys47c473$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.318550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc79…6b98backed Cowboys49c463.76$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.242352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e2…25f7backed Cowboys49c459$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9113348.1%64 W · 69 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dc2…8416backed Cowboys49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209757.7%56 W · 41 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Cowboys49c432.65$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21214337.8%54 W · 89 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.