TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Cowboys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cardinalsof Cardinals, Cowboys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,769,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,726,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,769,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,092 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Cardinals38c1,932,152$728,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203,714.5217041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Cowboys34c1,000,000$337,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337,041.836248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cowboys62c676,354$416,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416,801.3447738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…5ee1backed Cardinals37c540,687$200,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340,632.552050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Cowboys62c523,504$324,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324,572.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Cowboys62c391,778$243,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243,788.9322950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Cowboys62c360,000$224,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224,30010333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Cowboys63c347,000$217,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217,024.2513843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Cardinals70c266,652$186,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,454.412352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Cardinals69c259,718$180,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,274.459944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Cowboys62c210,200$130,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,323.9127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cardinals38c150,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,00031240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Cowboys6c129,762$7,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,982.2510026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Cardinals55c125,771$69,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,111.532433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Cardinals38c115,999$44,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,909.547035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Cardinals38c105,000$39,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,1005850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Cardinals69c104,212$72,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,165.530043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Cowboys63c99,943$62,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,497.082540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Cardinals63c97,567$61,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,099.671681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+147.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals66c85,587$56,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,503.4920634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cardinals68c76,170$51,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,368.9668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Cardinals38c75,000$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,5005550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cardinals47c73,395$34,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,982.9286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Cowboys63c68,937$43,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,4302343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Cardinals51c63,246$32,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,699.527554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Cowboys62c60,000$37,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,20011445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Cardinals72c48,000$34,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,60017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cowboys9c47,478$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.4320026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe796…7f5ebacked Cowboys4c45,000$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.733724.3%9 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals37c45,000$16,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,149.9430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Cardinals65c44,753$28,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,812.791973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Cowboys63c42,704$26,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,903.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Cowboys50c40,000$19,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,80013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Cowboys57c40,000$22,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,8003458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Cowboys32c39,361$12,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,496.9533328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Cowboys35c39,086$13,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,706.63748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals39c36,082$14,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,009.834637%17 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Cowboys26c36,068$9,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,538.844062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Cardinals39c30,541$11,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,770.9933553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Cowboys58c30,000$17,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,4002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals38c27,577$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,227.1412144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d0…f5f6backed Cowboys47c27,050$12,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,804.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Cowboys62c26,398$16,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,366.983256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals63c26,144$16,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,609.7360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Cowboys47c25,854$12,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,036.823040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Cowboys62c25,806$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0003557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Cardinals70c25,447$17,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,630.0813430.6%41 W · 93 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Cardinals42c22,881$9,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,314.788532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Cowboys61c22,621$13,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,798.554134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Cardinals64c22,344$14,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,043.7425137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Cowboys63c20,635$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00018650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Cardinals38c20,011$7,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,406.5313142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Cardinals39c19,515$7,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,903.8631350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Cowboys62c19,253$11,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,936.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Cowboys20c18,012$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.4611637.9%44 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Cowboys62c16,750$10,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3851580%12 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+42.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb256…b6dfbacked Cowboys14c15,709$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.48659.3%51 W · 35 L+13.5wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Cardinals38c13,580$5,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,3597248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cowboys39c13,068$5,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,112.6914147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cardinals37c12,088$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,615.4424056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Cardinals37c12,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,559.96425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Cardinals38c11,821$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,329.34546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57c…5264backed Cowboys53c11,349$6,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,006.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals69c11,241$7,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Cowboys45c10,995$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.981526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cowboys62c10,913$6,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,766.0631450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed Cardinals38c10,464$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,487.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5592backed Cowboys62c10,350$6,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,416.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Cowboys62c10,081$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,250520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Cowboys61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,100922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7032…6bdcbacked Cowboys24c9,662$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Cowboys1c9,216$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-54.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b5d…cc80backed Cowboys9c9,145$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Cowboys15c9,015$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.112454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+52%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa099…94febacked Cowboys62c8,984$5,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,57060%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9170…a3b7backed Cardinals39c8,974$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+74.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Cardinals38c8,324$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,160.8824456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals62c8,242$5,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.3131056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Cowboys36c8,037$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90011252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8985…3e36backed Cowboys62c8,013$4,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Cowboys25c7,846$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Cardinals47c7,783$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.5541947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d7…1f7fbacked Cowboys62c7,679$4,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,74140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Cowboys29c7,500$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.410144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals38c7,200$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,430.5920646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Cowboys62c6,974$4,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Cowboys61c6,889$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.2214154.6%77 W · 64 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals55c6,674$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.9316254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cardinals61c6,350$3,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.5723244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Cardinals38c6,199$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,858.1983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cowboys2c6,173$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.991486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cardinals74c6,047$4,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.3931543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Cowboys55c5,889$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,216.742941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Cowboys63c5,772$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-8.4wins-0.29per pick67cpaid-49.1%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Cardinals38c5,712$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.226965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Cowboys63c5,632$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,548.235650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Cowboys56c5,350$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…c7a5backed Cowboys61c5,003$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Cowboys45c5,000$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2687558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff3c…09ebbacked Cardinals53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.