NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfa388ae63c7707d69be8f2c0f9cc9c29dff4dab329a9345118387fd541d068c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,924,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,920,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,924,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 851 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Senators | 53c | 915,600$489,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489,203.9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Stars | 47c | 395,000$184,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210,700 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 47c | 212,766$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,765.95 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 46c | 137,104$62,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,148.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stars | 46c | 127,154$58,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,663.3 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Stars | 45c | 101,592$45,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,290.97 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Senators | 54c | 88,083$47,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,564.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 47c | 60,700$28,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,170.94 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Stars | 47c | 51,688$24,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,394.64 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Stars | 47c | 41,995$19,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,077.28 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,199.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 45c | 33,611$15,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,440.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Senators | 53c | 32,407$17,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,175.55 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Stars | 47c | 31,350$14,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,615.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Senators | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Stars | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Stars | 47c | 30,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,800 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Stars | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Stars | 48c | 18,880$9,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,874.47 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Stars | 21c | 18,456$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,662.06 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Senators | 54c | 18,394$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Stars | 48c | 16,519$7,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,582.5 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Senators | 54c | 16,219$8,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,758.13 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 47c | 15,663$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,243.07 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Stars | 23c | 15,491$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,924.71 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 46c | 15,340$7,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,304.77 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Stars | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 46c | 13,568$6,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Senators | 53c | 13,432$7,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Stars | 46c | 12,505$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.05 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Senators | 54c | 12,191$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stars | 48c | 10,935$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.53 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 17c | 10,065$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,306.58 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Stars | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Stars | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Stars | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Stars | 24c | 9,572$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,317.27 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Senators | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Senators | 54c | 9,115$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 53c | 8,995$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.29 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x719f…db30backed Stars | 46c | 8,500$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…429abacked Senators | 54c | 8,500$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Stars | 45c | 8,464$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.73 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Stars | 51c | 8,005$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Stars | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Senators | 54c | 7,601$4,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.58 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Senators | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.99 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Stars | 47c | 6,969$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.57 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 50c | 6,666$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.67 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Senators | 54c | 6,499$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 48c | 6,335$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 46c | 6,264$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 41c | 5,569$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,264.61 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Senators | 53c | 5,555$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.15 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…86d3backed Stars | 46c | 5,300$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Stars | 47c | 5,295$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.35 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 54c | 5,267$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.15 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Senators | 53c | 5,024$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.48 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Senators | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Senators | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Senators | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…1533backed Stars | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.78 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Stars | 47c | 4,882$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.46 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Senators | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Senators | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Stars | 48c | 4,280$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.67 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Stars | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Stars | 49c | 4,030$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.3 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Senators | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…7b55backed Senators | 54c | 3,959$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Stars | 47c | 3,789$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.11 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stars | 47c | 3,678$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.74 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Stars | 47c | 3,456$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.68 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Stars | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Stars | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf62…2904backed Senators | 52c | 3,000$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Senators | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…88dbbacked Stars | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 47c | 3,000$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.92 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Stars | 46c | 2,934$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.36 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbef…4cd2backed Senators | 51c | 2,863$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Senators | 54c | 2,726$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Stars | 48c | 2,538$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.58 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6378…8714backed Senators | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 45c | 2,426$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.62 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 51c | 2,235$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.28 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Stars | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Senators | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Stars | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…c110backed Senators | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed Stars | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c696backed Senators | 53c | 2,001$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…d52ebacked Senators | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…61eabacked Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…b882backed Stars | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed Senators | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Senatorsthis page
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Stars won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Senators won
- Stars vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.