NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48cf8bfae8803c3674164e4503a50e45d0cf4410217be161b6b5a4fe48a1c826
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Under | 48c | 177,665$85,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,190.42 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Over | 52c | 84,198$43,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,415.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 52c | 24,875$12,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,940 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Under | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 50c | 15,958$8,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,949.07 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 9,962$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Over | 52c | 7,728$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.44 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Over | 52c | 7,323$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.08 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 53c | 2,339$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.38 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 50c | 1,857$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.61 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…0566backed Over | 53c | 536.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Over | 56c | 378.84$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 249$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 54c | 153.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 67c | 99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…37a0backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x712d…3d9abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 48c | 25.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5this page
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Jazz won
- Trail Blazers vs. JazzTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.