College Football · resolved market
Indiana vs. Penn State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9259aa629f3aa7c4217e17465f40fb1090f363f912d28d03e8977e4fec5cf122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Penn State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $827,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $777,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $827,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penn State | 15c | 98,895$15,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,115.89 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Penn State | 13c | 84,268$11,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,313.79 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Penn State | 15c | 36,667$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Penn State | 21c | 24,563$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.37 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Penn State | 18c | 22,833$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.8 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penn State | 14c | 22,166$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.47 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penn State | 46c | 17,301$8,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,024.81 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Penn State | 18c | 16,512$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penn State | 14c | 15,566$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.32 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Penn State | 52c | 10,000$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.97 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Penn State | 15c | 9,495$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.16 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd1…da1cbacked Indiana | 29c | 9,021$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,405.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Penn State | 14c | 8,821$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.98 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Penn State | 15c | 7,785$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn State | 10c | 7,028$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.08 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Penn State | 56c | 7,003$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Penn State | 14c | 7,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Penn State | 15c | 6,400$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.01 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Penn State | 14c | 6,308$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.08 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Penn State | 60c | 6,000$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.18 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Penn State | 15c | 5,346$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Penn State | 37c | 5,282$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.97 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Penn State | 78c | 4,108$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penn State | 15c | 4,057$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.44 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Penn State | 32c | 3,606$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.95 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penn State | 13c | 3,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn State | 39c | 3,409$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.22 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Penn State | 14c | 3,337$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.18 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Penn State | 52c | 3,299$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.68 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Penn State | 62c | 3,291$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.05 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Penn State | 17c | 3,008$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Indiana | 75c | 2,681$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.76 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Penn State | 21c | 2,634$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.87 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…37a4backed Penn State | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fb63backed Penn State | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Indiana | 44c | 2,459$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.01 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Penn State | 13c | 2,439$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana | 65c | 2,411$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.65 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Penn State | 78c | 2,331$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.11 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43c…e0a1backed Indiana | 78c | 2,305$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Penn State | 6c | 2,243$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Penn State | 16c | 2,180$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.72 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penn State | 53c | 2,135$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.4 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Penn State | 38c | 2,092$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Penn State | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Penn State | 17c | 1,903$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Penn State | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…c0a9backed Penn State | 17c | 1,796$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Penn State | 16c | 1,718$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.92 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Penn State | 14c | 1,718$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…41eebacked Penn State | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb667…64ddbacked Penn State | 7c | 1,421$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Penn State | 15c | 1,322$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Penn State | 15c | 1,200$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Penn State | 16c | 1,044$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked Penn State | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Penn State | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Penn State | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Indiana | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Penn State | 15c | 999.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…afa7backed Penn State | 17c | 983.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana | 19c | 920.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.18 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b2…0566backed Penn State | 15c | 853.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Penn State | 15c | 853$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…413ebacked Penn State | 15c | 809.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…795dbacked Penn State | 15c | 808.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Indiana | 30c | 777$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.9 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Indiana | 60c | 687.02$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.56 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…f4c7backed Indiana | 40c | 665.39$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penn State | 17c | 660.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.22 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Penn State | 17c | 604.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Penn State | 69c | 601.75$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Indiana | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed Penn State | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Penn State | 13c | 577$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…ae92backed Penn State | 17c | 575.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0830…a3f0backed Penn State | 18c | 538.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…5a32backed Penn State | 15c | 530.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Penn State | 19c | 503.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Penn State | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked Penn State | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Penn State | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Penn State | 14c | 499.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Penn State | 16c | 462.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Penn State | 50c | 457.77$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Penn State | 15c | 444$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana | 63c | 408.67$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Penn State | 15c | 376.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penn State | 29c | 371.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Penn State | 6c | 369.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penn State | 14c | 367.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Penn State | 14c | 359.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…a2bcbacked Penn State | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Penn State | 12c | 345.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369d…18c3backed Penn State | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed Penn State | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2450backed Penn State | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…a537backed Penn State | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Indiana | 43c | 316.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.84 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Indiana | 58c | 310$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana vs. Penn Statethis page
- Indiana vs. Penn State: O/U 48.5Over won
- Indiana vs. Penn State: O/U 50.5Over won
- O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-14.5)Penn State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.