TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb667…64dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$91.5
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52.9
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49.2
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31.35
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.22
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.7
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.08
Devils vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.94
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+400%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 30-39 tweets on September 15, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$114.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacybacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.