NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0a4a160343d3f6f12f3518ac336deee778f9c922c3a8cebc22e4e9bb90947d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Dolphins, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,020,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,044,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,020,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dolphins | 14c | 218,939$31,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,251.28 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dolphins | 13c | 187,101$24,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,861.6 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dolphins | 14c | 175,384$25,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,170.76 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dolphins | 14c | 159,102$22,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,274.3 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dolphins | 13c | 153,009$19,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,891.23 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Dolphins | 7c | 131,964$9,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,704.62 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dolphins | 12c | 104,999$12,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,855.33 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Dolphins | 11c | 68,841$7,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,895.85 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dolphins | 13c | 65,266$8,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,203.97 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Dolphins | 13c | 58,145$7,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,558.79 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Dolphins | 12c | 50,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Dolphins | 12c | 42,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.96 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Dolphins | 13c | 41,874$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,443.62 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Dolphins | 14c | 33,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Dolphins | 13c | 28,750$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 19c | 28,310$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.42 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Dolphins | 14c | 25,535$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.03 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Dolphins | 13c | 22,763$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.22 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Dolphins | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dolphins | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Dolphins | 13c | 18,525$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.23 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Dolphins | 14c | 17,857$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolphins | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bills | 80c | 13,023$10,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.4 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dolphins | 20c | 12,793$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.97 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dolphins | 24c | 12,227$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.8 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…852abacked Dolphins | 5c | 11,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dolphins | 17c | 10,276$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.34 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Dolphins | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dolphins | 20c | 9,930$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Dolphins | 14c | 7,653$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.46 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Dolphins | 13c | 7,014$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.16 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Bills | 78c | 6,114$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.72 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Bills | 79c | 5,603$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.69 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Dolphins | 12c | 5,551$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.08 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Dolphins | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Dolphins | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dolphins | 13c | 4,807$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.42 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Dolphins | 14c | 4,595$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.91 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dolphins | 17c | 4,557$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Dolphins | 13c | 4,221$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins | 13c | 4,165$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.48 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Bills | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Dolphins | 13c | 3,975$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.72 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bills | 72c | 3,945$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.93 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…9d84backed Dolphins | 13c | 3,520$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Dolphins | 12c | 3,519$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Dolphins | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Dolphins | 14c | 3,393$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dolphins | 1c | 3,188$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Dolphins | 13c | 3,016$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.79 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Dolphins | 1c | 3,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bills | 71c | 2,868$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.89 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Dolphins | 14c | 2,804$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dolphins | 16c | 2,710$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.33 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Dolphins | 13c | 2,562$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Dolphins | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Dolphins | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Dolphins | 13c | 2,333$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Dolphins | 18c | 2,100$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Bills | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.27 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Dolphins | 12c | 2,000$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.63 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Dolphins | 13c | 1,947$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Dolphins | 13c | 1,692$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Dolphins | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Dolphins | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…34d8backed Dolphins | 17c | 1,435$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Dolphins | 10c | 1,336$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bills | 74c | 1,311$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.26 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Dolphins | 13c | 1,222$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Dolphins | 15c | 1,200$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Dolphins | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Dolphins | 14c | 1,036$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…d41ebacked Dolphins | 14c | 1,032$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Dolphins | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…14cdbacked Dolphins | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Dolphins | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dolphins | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dolphins | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Dolphins | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…3242backed Dolphins | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…c07fbacked Dolphins | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Dolphins | 15c | 878.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Dolphins | 14c | 847.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Bills | 78c | 840$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Dolphins | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Bills | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dc…5ac3backed Dolphins | 2c | 776.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Dolphins | 37c | 768$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…381cbacked Dolphins | 16c | 750$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Dolphins | 15c | 720$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Dolphins | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Dolphins | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bills | 74c | 700$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…8562backed Dolphins | 19c | 636.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dolphins | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Dolphins | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Dolphins | 8c | 594.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Dolphins | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Bills | 78c | 551.78$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dolphins vs. Billsthis page
- MIA vs. BUF: O/U 50.5Over won
- MIA vs. BUF: O/U 51.5Over won
- MIA vs. BUF: O/U 54.5Under won
- MIA vs. BUF: O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: BUF (-10.5)MIA won
- Spread: BUF (-11.5)MIA won
- Spread: BUF (-13.5)MIA won
- Spread: BUF (-14.5)MIA won
- Spread: BUF (-15.5)MIA won
- Spread: BUF (-17.5)MIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.