TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1901…c07f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8033.8%27 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$45.85
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$44.89
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+1,150%+$230
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+376.2%+$158
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+334.8%+$192.5
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48.3
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Raiders vs. Chargersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$75
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.91
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$148
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$71.99
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$305
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$93.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.