NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3cf254d616431b7610c0829d5b26c06cd33b3123dbfd59e75c98072b5c6be74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Commanders, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,131,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,522,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,131,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 671 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1af1…0f7bbacked Vikings | 50c | 420,769$212,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,457.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Commanders | 23c | 269,285$61,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,350.12 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Vikings | 51c | 176,481$89,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,488.69 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Commanders | 50c | 150,000$74,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,499.91 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Vikings | 49c | 121,222$59,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,823.47 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Commanders | 49c | 90,000$44,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 49c | 81,802$40,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,287.25 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Vikings | 50c | 61,506$30,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,050.87 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 49c | 58,452$28,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,641.37 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Vikings | 52c | 55,098$28,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,447.08 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Commanders | 50c | 54,997$27,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,298.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Commanders | 48c | 40,058$19,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,273.48 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Commanders | 49c | 32,000$15,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,680 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Commanders | 50c | 31,636$15,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,909.77 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Commanders | 51c | 30,648$15,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,477.14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Commanders | 50c | 30,219$14,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.21 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Vikings | 48c | 28,072$13,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,597.59 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Vikings | 50c | 25,800$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900.22 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Commanders | 50c | 23,714$11,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,856.89 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Commanders | 51c | 23,109$11,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,785.6 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Commanders | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Commanders | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Commanders | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Commanders | 50c | 19,900$9,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,950 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Commanders | 49c | 17,683$8,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,741.59 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Commanders | 51c | 17,154$8,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,769.55 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Vikings | 49c | 15,052$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,676.46 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Vikings | 50c | 14,443$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,154.84 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Commanders | 51c | 13,597$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,925.25 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Commanders | 43c | 13,082$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,629.97 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Commanders | 6c | 12,299$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.46 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Commanders | 51c | 12,122$6,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182.43 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Commanders | 0c | 12,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Vikings | 70c | 12,000$8,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 50c | 10,648$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.99 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vikings | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Commanders | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Commanders | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Commanders | 50c | 9,730$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.33 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Commanders | 52c | 9,558$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.01 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Vikings | 80c | 9,175$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.11 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Commanders | 51c | 9,167$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.73 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…706fbacked Commanders | 50c | 8,888$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Commanders | 53c | 8,868$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders | 2c | 8,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Commanders | 51c | 7,891$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.89 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Commanders | 0c | 7,573$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Commanders | 51c | 6,781$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.37 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Vikings | 50c | 6,240$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Commanders | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Commanders | 6c | 5,383$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Vikings | 50c | 5,335$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.11 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Commanders | 53c | 5,066$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.87 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Commanders | 46c | 4,627$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.14 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Commanders | 24c | 4,609$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.04 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Commanders | 23c | 4,604$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.52 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…d88dbacked Commanders | 38c | 4,277$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…8406backed Commanders | 52c | 4,261$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…423bbacked Vikings | 48c | 4,255$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Vikings | 64c | 4,108$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Commanders | 50c | 4,000$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Commanders | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Vikings | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Vikings | 47c | 3,692$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.72 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Commanders | 49c | 3,571$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Commanders | 16c | 3,500$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.53 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Commanders | 54c | 3,464$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.56 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vikings | 70c | 3,408$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.68 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Commanders | 38c | 3,287$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Commanders | 50c | 3,021$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.48 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Vikings | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Commanders | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Commanders | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vikings | 63c | 2,804$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.08 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed Commanders | 47c | 2,739$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Commanders | 49c | 2,730$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.4 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Commanders | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…4899backed Commanders | 3c | 2,530$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Commanders | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Commanders | 50c | 2,386$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.25 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Commanders | 3c | 2,249$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Commanders | 50c | 2,141$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Vikings | 48c | 2,109$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.85 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Commanders | 39c | 2,100$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.96 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Vikings | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…977ebacked Vikings | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Commanders | 49c | 2,033$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.31 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Vikings | 54c | 2,029$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.44 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…a97bbacked Commanders | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Vikings | 76c | 2,006$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.21 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Commanders | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…cb44backed Commanders | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Commanders | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Commanders | 51c | 2,000$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.45 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Vikings | 47c | 1,999$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.68 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vikings | 50c | 1,972$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.02 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Commanders | 49c | 1,967$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.09 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…4a7ebacked Commanders | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d3f2backed Commanders | 53c | 1,938$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Vikings | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Commanders vs. Vikingsthis page
- Commanders vs. Vikings: O/U 37.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Vikings: O/U 41.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Commanders (-1.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-1.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-2.5)Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.