NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x302bb4d901c8fe550edede68f63e113cc83ae0d910258516080e8c56c79a44ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,612,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,206,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,612,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,006 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Commanders | 28c | 659,204$184,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,577.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Broncos | 72c | 334,769$240,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,635.37 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Broncos | 71c | 324,000$230,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,858.27 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Broncos | 72c | 192,681$138,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,950.68 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Commanders | 28c | 145,888$40,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,848.59 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Commanders | 29c | 145,282$41,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,679.03 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Commanders | 25c | 140,737$34,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,729.06 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Broncos | 72c | 138,892$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,892.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Broncos | 73c | 107,805$78,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,844.72 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Broncos | 71c | 93,522$66,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,088.53 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Commanders | 29c | 90,000$26,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,100 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Commanders | 32c | 85,987$27,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,765.39 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Commanders | 32c | 84,875$27,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,120.53 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Commanders | 38c | 71,321$27,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,102.02 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Commanders | 28c | 62,900$17,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,582.98 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Broncos | 70c | 59,677$41,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,727.42 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Commanders | 28c | 55,193$15,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,454.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Broncos | 73c | 52,484$38,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,148.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Commanders | 29c | 45,000$13,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,050 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Broncos | 72c | 40,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Commanders | 29c | 39,807$11,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,558.57 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Commanders | 26c | 38,252$9,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,798.28 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Commanders | 20c | 37,965$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,481.52 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Broncos | 72c | 34,722$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,722.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Commanders | 30c | 34,095$10,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,371.41 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Broncos | 69c | 33,756$23,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,621.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders | 29c | 33,486$9,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,876.37 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Broncos | 70c | 30,530$21,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.32 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Broncos | 68c | 29,345$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,344.71 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 27c | 29,056$7,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,721.28 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Broncos | 72c | 28,537$20,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Broncos | 76c | 27,100$20,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,489 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Broncos | 73c | 26,282$19,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,187.45 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Broncos | 71c | 25,000$17,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Commanders | 1c | 23,851$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Broncos | 77c | 22,431$17,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Commanders | 28c | 21,627$6,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,055.59 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Commanders | 30c | 20,601$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,251.89 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Broncos | 73c | 18,930$13,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.38 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Broncos | 71c | 18,510$13,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.65 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Commanders | 30c | 18,506$5,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610.64 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Commanders | 24c | 16,997$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Commanders | 30c | 16,713$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Broncos | 76c | 16,501$12,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.45 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Broncos | 72c | 16,032$11,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.96 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Commanders | 1c | 16,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Commanders | 12c | 15,837$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.86 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Commanders | 19c | 15,836$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.69 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Broncos | 70c | 15,555$10,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.5 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Commanders | 33c | 15,054$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Broncos | 71c | 14,910$10,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.9 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Commanders | 28c | 14,150$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.66 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…568bbacked Broncos | 72c | 13,944$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Commanders | 28c | 13,891$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.54 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Broncos | 77c | 12,802$9,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Broncos | 72c | 12,673$9,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.21 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Broncos | 72c | 11,799$8,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Broncos | 71c | 11,240$7,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.71 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Broncos | 58c | 11,000$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 27c | 10,676$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.55 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Broncos | 71c | 10,650$7,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.5 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Broncos | 72c | 10,584$7,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.52 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Broncos | 72c | 10,062$7,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Broncos | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Commanders | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Broncos | 80c | 9,699$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.31 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Commanders | 27c | 9,599$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.25 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 71c | 9,389$6,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.82 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Commanders | 26c | 9,325$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Broncos | 71c | 9,318$6,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.22 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Commanders | 24c | 9,075$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.52 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…cbbcbacked Broncos | 74c | 8,000$5,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Broncos | 76c | 7,932$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.78 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Commanders | 27c | 7,881$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Broncos | 73c | 7,843$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…9bd1backed Broncos | 71c | 7,500$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Broncos | 76c | 7,219$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.63 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Commanders | 28c | 7,003$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…e16bbacked Commanders | 29c | 6,999$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Commanders | 30c | 6,943$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.48 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Broncos | 75c | 6,730$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.88 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Broncos | 67c | 6,729$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.53 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Broncos | 66c | 6,632$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Broncos | 72c | 6,547$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.09 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Broncos | 72c | 6,185$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.48 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Broncos | 72c | 6,167$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.48 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Commanders | 28c | 5,825$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Broncos | 74c | 5,822$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Broncos | 74c | 5,806$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.4 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Broncos | 69c | 5,605$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.57 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Broncos | 78c | 5,518$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.75 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Commanders | 33c | 5,410$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.9 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Broncos | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…70aabacked Broncos | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Broncos | 74c | 4,800$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Broncos | 72c | 4,765$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.85 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Commanders | 29c | 4,717$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.95 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Commanders | 28c | 4,702$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.69 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Broncos | 77c | 4,461$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.17 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Commanders | 37c | 4,456$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Commandersthis page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Broncos won
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Broncos won
- Broncos vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Commanders: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-5.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.