NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Commanders: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3258be138859cc305b8ad14b9672fca6258f3ade58ab6dd91d10947beac6ce77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,999.99 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Over | 49c | 58,453$28,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,757.89 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 55,226$28,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,004.64 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 43,371$22,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,119.34 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.99 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Under | 51c | 35,504$18,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,106.83 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 51c | 31,442$16,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,085.12 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 29,519$14,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,054.69 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Over | 72c | 15,904$11,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.82 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 14,329$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,038.61 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 41c | 11,694$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.22 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 48c | 10,999$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.93 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 50c | 10,010$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 54c | 8,947$4,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.09 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 8,714$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.09 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 7,182$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.75 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 49c | 5,931$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.81 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Under | 53c | 5,680$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 49c | 5,450$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.83 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 49c | 5,417$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.73 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 5,025$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.06 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 55c | 5,006$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.54 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Under | 52c | 4,471$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d3f2backed Under | 52c | 3,250$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Over | 38c | 2,673$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.09 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 2,178$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.15 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,770$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.57 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,712$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.94 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 1,657$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.6 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Over | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Over | 49c | 1,226$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.6 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 923.08$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.46 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Under | 50c | 820$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 43c | 791$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.41 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 40c | 781.12$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 16c | 738.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.25 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 48c | 609.44$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 604$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.24 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 402.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Under | 49c | 397.92$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Under | 52c | 389.56$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…9ce4backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 368.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Under | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 315$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 312.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.49 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 52c | 312.49$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Under | 32c | 300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 49c | 299$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Over | 49c | 286.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Under | 36c | 264.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 225.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 42c | 223.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 65c | 190$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecd…9df4backed Under | 52c | 175$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 48c | 162$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Over | 66c | 150.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Under | 30c | 141$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Over | 38c | 131.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Over | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 35c | 108.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Under | 52c | 106.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Under | 55c | 104.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 37cpaid | -84%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Over | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 50c | 81.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Under | 52c | 79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 52c | 78.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Under | 42c | 76.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 49c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Under | 38c | 70.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Commanders: O/U 43.5this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Broncos won
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Broncos won
- Broncos vs. CommandersBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-5.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.