NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ca986fb07f24f7e79455b0da437c2e19906cff3d8e40e29ae2936efa175fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Broncos, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Commanders | 48c | 190,697$91,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,162.66 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Broncos | 52c | 160,000$83,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,200 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Commanders | 47c | 42,451$19,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,499.05 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Commanders | 49c | 28,928$14,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,753.21 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Broncos | 53c | 21,292$11,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,202 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Broncos | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 46c | 15,184$7,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.87 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Commanders | 47c | 14,973$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,935.93 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Broncos | 53c | 12,775$6,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,771 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Broncos | 53c | 12,644$6,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,695 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Broncos | 51c | 12,355$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,301.05 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Commanders | 45c | 10,847$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,960.17 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Broncos | 55c | 10,263$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 47c | 9,628$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos | 54c | 9,494$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,126.76 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Broncos | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.02 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Commanders | 48c | 8,421$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.74 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Broncos | 52c | 6,666$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.99 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Broncos | 52c | 6,050$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.4 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Commanders | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Broncos | 53c | 5,700$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Broncos | 53c | 4,954$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Broncos | 53c | 3,289$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.17 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Broncos | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Broncos | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Broncos | 53c | 2,719$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.1 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Commanders | 48c | 2,519$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.05 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Broncos | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Broncos | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Commanders | 47c | 1,848$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.44 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Broncos | 54c | 1,713$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.87 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Broncos | 54c | 1,099$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.26 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Broncos | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Broncos | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Broncos | 53c | 845.8$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Broncos | 52c | 774.98$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Broncos | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Broncos | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Broncos | 54c | 560$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Broncos | 52c | 500.02$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Broncos | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Commanders | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…e3b8backed Broncos | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Broncos | 53c | 484.91$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…ab58backed Commanders | 47c | 471$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Broncos | 53c | 462.77$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.27 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Commanders | 48c | 371.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Broncos | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Broncos | 53c | 290.28$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Broncos | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Broncos | 59c | 222.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Broncos | 51c | 215.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Broncos | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…e115backed Broncos | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Broncos | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Broncos | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Broncos | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Broncos | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Commanders | 48c | 168$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Broncos | 52c | 161.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…97efbacked Broncos | 53c | 157.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Broncos | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Broncos | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Commanders | 47c | 147.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Broncos | 53c | 118.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Commanders | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked Broncos | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Broncos | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Broncos | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Broncos | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Broncos | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…18f4backed Broncos | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Commanders | 17c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos | 51c | 84.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Commanders | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…8260backed Broncos | 53c | 77.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Broncos | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Broncos | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Broncos | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…7419backed Broncos | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Broncos | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…eafdbacked Broncos | 55c | 56.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Commanders | 52c | 54.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Broncos | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Broncos | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Commanders | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Broncos | 52c | 49.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…d5a3backed Broncos | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Broncos | 55c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…93d5backed Broncos | 52c | 40.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…118ebacked Broncos | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…0f1bbacked Broncos | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2992…e409backed Broncos | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Broncos | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Commanders | 53c | 36.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Commanders | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Commanders | 50c | 33.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5670…6db5backed Broncos | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked Commanders | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Broncos won
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Broncos won
- Broncos vs. CommandersBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Commanders: 1H MoneylineBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Broncos vs. Commanders: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-6.5)Commanders won
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.