NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8e19473a9885cf6f5493723433806197b80d78154858120d770e6be0c67bd88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,602,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,907,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,602,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 775 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Steelers | 39c | 1,376,563$543,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543,461.86 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Steelers | 34c | 633,822$217,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217,506.74 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 61c | 448,040$273,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,277.8 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 40c | 255,079$102,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,020.18 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Bills | 60c | 250,000$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bills | 51c | 175,412$89,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,620.19 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bills | 60c | 110,571$66,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,722.69 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bills | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Bills | 60c | 95,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,000 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Steelers | 44c | 91,507$40,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,718.53 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bills | 61c | 88,000$53,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,361.9 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 61c | 74,494$45,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,052.77 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Bills | 62c | 63,949$39,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,300.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bills | 56c | 59,999$33,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,508.72 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Steelers | 18c | 58,049$10,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,248.9 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…1328backed Steelers | 39c | 57,515$22,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,180.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bills | 80c | 52,204$41,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,589.48 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Steelers | 19c | 50,648$9,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,797.88 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Bills | 59c | 49,327$29,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,085.4 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 59c | 46,162$27,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,895.83 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Steelers | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Steelers | 25c | 39,880$10,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,101.52 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Bills | 72c | 39,012$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,812.01 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Steelers | 39c | 37,627$14,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,674.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Bills | 60c | 35,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Steelers | 39c | 33,821$13,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,221.99 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bills | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.99 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bills | 61c | 29,508$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,508.2 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Bills | 55c | 27,270$14,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,271.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Bills | 47c | 22,391$10,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,822.06 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Steelers | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.97 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bills | 56c | 19,210$10,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.66 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Bills | 69c | 18,552$12,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.89 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Bills | 61c | 16,809$10,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,591.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Bills | 48c | 16,667$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,666.67 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f09…7884backed Steelers | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bills | 61c | 14,799$9,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,726.37 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Steelers | 3c | 14,291$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.88 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Steelers | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Steelers | 40c | 12,192$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.64 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Bills | 63c | 12,006$7,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.22 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bills | 60c | 11,298$6,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.32 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Bills | 62c | 11,290$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bills | 59c | 11,231$6,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.48 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bills | 60c | 10,833$6,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.33 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 61c | 10,142$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.26 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bills | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…17c0backed Steelers | 38c | 9,870$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers | 47c | 9,718$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.86 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Steelers | 2c | 9,082$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Steelers | 17c | 8,818$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.54 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…28e6backed Bills | 57c | 8,800$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Steelers | 35c | 8,421$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.61 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Bills | 61c | 8,183$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.07 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Bills | 55c | 8,180$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.99 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Steelers | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bills | 60c | 7,777$4,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.8 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…c53fbacked Bills | 47c | 7,758$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Bills | 60c | 7,600$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Steelers | 53c | 7,536$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.21 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Bills | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Bills | 61c | 7,392$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.59 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bills | 61c | 7,025$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.9 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Steelers | 0c | 7,025$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bills | 58c | 7,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Steelers | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Steelers | 16c | 6,995$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.59 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Bills | 62c | 6,500$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.96 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bills | 61c | 6,457$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.13 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Bills | 61c | 5,555$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.37 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…f24abacked Bills | 64c | 5,449$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…f186backed Steelers | 40c | 5,277$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…db9fbacked Bills | 63c | 5,100$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bills | 54c | 5,094$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.66 | 284 | 51.8%147 W · 137 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Steelers | 40c | 5,002$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.8 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Steelers | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Steelers | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bills | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Bills | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Bills | 53c | 5,000$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Bills | 60c | 4,950$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Bills | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Bills | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.03 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked Steelers | 53c | 4,895$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…61e0backed Bills | 63c | 4,839$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d3f2backed Bills | 57c | 4,400$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Steelers | 37c | 4,332$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.84 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Bills | 61c | 4,100$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bills | 59c | 4,009$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.95 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Steelers | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Steelers | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Bills | 61c | 3,942$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.33 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bills | 56c | 3,910$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.87 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Steelers | 53c | 3,688$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.45 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Bills | 54c | 3,673$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Bills | 41c | 3,670$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.64 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Steelers | 3c | 3,389$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Bills | 60c | 3,389$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.89 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Bills | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Bills | 53c | 3,313$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Steelersthis page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-2.5)Steelers won
- Bills vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineSteelers won
- Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5Under won
- Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)Bills won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.