NFL · resolved market
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4c3486d3098a3fb70859a6813842f5790f19d1d715f49fdf1a53bedeb6a412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Steelers | 54c | 216,998$116,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,967.83 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bills | 46c | 139,585$64,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,301.03 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Bills | 47c | 101,436$47,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,586.93 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Steelers | 53c | 48,740$25,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,729.7 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bills | 46c | 32,317$14,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,378.76 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Steelers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bills | 45c | 11,328$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,230.25 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Bills | 46c | 11,213$5,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bills | 45c | 11,092$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.83 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Steelers | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Bills | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,459.99 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Steelers | 52c | 9,248$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.45 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Steelers | 55c | 7,351$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.84 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bills | 46c | 6,657$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.64 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Bills | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Steelers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bills | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Steelers | 53c | 4,832$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.69 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Steelers | 54c | 4,657$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.78 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Steelers | 55c | 4,600$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bills | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.45 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bills | 48c | 3,390$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.05 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…cf3abacked Bills | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 53c | 3,218$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.78 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Steelers | 53c | 2,673$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.87 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Bills | 47c | 2,575$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.75 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Steelers | 52c | 2,557$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.79 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Steelers | 53c | 2,340$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.66 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Bills | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bills | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Bills | 49c | 1,962$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.54 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Steelers | 50c | 1,820$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.06 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Bills | 40c | 1,300$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bills | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Steelers | 54c | 999.99$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Steelers | 54c | 926$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Steelers | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Steelers | 53c | 778$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.34 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Bills | 47c | 755.72$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.53 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Steelers | 54c | 749.97$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bills | 48c | 736.78$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.13 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Steelers | 56c | 726.06$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…5fcbbacked Bills | 46c | 651.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.93 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Steelers | 55c | 641.93$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Bills | 46c | 617.26$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Bills | 48c | 612.77$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.77 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Steelers | 53c | 542.71$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.26 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Bills | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Bills | 48c | 486.33$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.03 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Bills | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Steelers | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ba36backed Bills | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Bills | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bills | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Bills | 44c | 366.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.28 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Bills | 45c | 358.69$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.19 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Steelers | 54c | 340$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Bills | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Steelers | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Steelers | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Steelers | 53c | 299.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.96 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bills | 46c | 283$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Bills | 44c | 277.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Bills | 47c | 268.74$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Bills | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Bills | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Bills | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Steelers | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…a42bbacked Bills | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Bills | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Steelers | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bills | 49c | 216$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Steelers | 54c | 205$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Bills | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Steelers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Steelers | 55c | 196.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Steelers | 53c | 192.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Bills | 46c | 182.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Steelers | 56c | 179.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Steelers | 56c | 179.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…16d4backed Steelers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bills | 46c | 177$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Steelers | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Bills | 47c | 159.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Bills | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Steelers | 22c | 145$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…c448backed Steelers | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Steelers | 55c | 135$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Steelers | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Bills | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Bills | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…f955backed Bills | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Bills | 46c | 107.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Bills | 48c | 107$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Steelers | 55c | 100.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Bills | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…14f0backed Bills | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bills | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Bills | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Steelers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-2.5)Steelers won
- Bills vs. SteelersBills won
- Bills vs. Steelers: 1H MoneylineSteelers won
- Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5Under won
- Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 47.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.