TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x575b…14f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST4946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+181.6%+$1,913
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$97.93
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$325.5
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$56.4
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Spread: 49ers (-1.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$53.99
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$140
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$76.86
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+300%+$150
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$45
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$43.2
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Oregon vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Alabama vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67
O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Spread: Vanderbilt (-4.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+217.8%+$89.1
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.14
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Spread: Alabama (-5.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+90.5%+$95
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
All 25 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.98
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-2.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UCF Knights vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+104%+$280.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$356.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.