NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75cf95de2542fcc6b10931e76bf79744e5af6bd2db6aec53f1947ad828dd1c4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 47c | 50,629$23,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,795.47 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 46,479$24,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,620.48 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 55c | 39,911$21,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,959.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Under | 54c | 34,892$18,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,050.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 52c | 30,251$15,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,497.55 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 48c | 24,073$11,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,544.43 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 46c | 22,702$10,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,340.03 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 45c | 11,274$5,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.3 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 46c | 11,000$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 10,605$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.24 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 9,617$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.99 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 46c | 6,882$3,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 4,837$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.42 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 4,490$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.97 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Over | 46c | 3,301$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 1,810$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.49 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Over | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 48c | 1,490$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 45c | 1,290$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.6 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 1,043$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.11 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d7…6424backed Over | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 49c | 994.5$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Under | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 599.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over | 46c | 565.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Over | 46c | 565.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 47c | 506.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.96 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 47c | 506.28$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.95 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 47c | 489.36$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 488.11$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…cbc2backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 368$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 343$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Over | 48c | 341.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Over | 46c | 328$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Over | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 53c | 300.19$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Over | 47c | 259.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Over | 47c | 219.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 199.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…8f91backed Over | 52c | 180.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…22c1backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 152.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +11.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Patriots won
- Chargers vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 47.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 49.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.