NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd824cd01a7ad33e3f49a9c3a83ce54969335da40df6adf5466e13f1ccb7c16df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Patriots | 41c | 5,537$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.72 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 42c | 4,963$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.11 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Chargers | 26c | 4,470$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.34 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Chargers | 55c | 4,091$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.06 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Patriots | 48c | 3,915$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chargers | 58c | 3,892$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.93 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chargers | 59c | 3,518$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.6 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Chargers | 61c | 2,779$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.68 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Patriots | 57c | 2,229$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots | 46c | 2,191$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.26 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chargers | 42c | 2,108$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.37 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Patriots | 41c | 2,088$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.63 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Chargers | 60c | 1,961$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Chargers | 53c | 1,360$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 38c | 1,310$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.28 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Chargers | 27c | 1,168$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Chargers | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Chargers | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Patriots | 42c | 939.6$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Patriots | 47c | 694.7$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Chargers | 59c | 643.92$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.91 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Patriots | 41c | 609.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Patriots | 35c | 537.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Patriots | 35c | 440$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Patriots | 69c | 415.49$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Patriots | 35c | 414$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7e22backed Patriots | 30c | 400$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Chargers | 63c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…e1ffbacked Chargers | 59c | 371.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Patriots | 38c | 350$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Patriots | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Patriots | 58c | 309.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Patriots | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Chargers | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Patriots | 41c | 255$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…87f3backed Patriots | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…7e3bbacked Chargers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 39c | 220.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Patriots | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Chargers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Patriots | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Patriots | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Chargers | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Chargers | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Patriots | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Chargers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Chargers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Chargers | 25c | 168.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Chargers | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Patriots | 42c | 142.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Patriots | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Chargers | 33c | 113.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f01…cbc2backed Patriots | 43c | 111.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Chargers | 57c | 110.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Chargers | 11c | 108.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Chargers | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Chargers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Chargers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Chargers | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Chargers | 24c | 96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7671…7244backed Chargers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Chargers | 23c | 78.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Patriots | 41c | 73.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +11.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…8df0backed Patriots | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…4797backed Patriots | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…8a64backed Patriots | 43c | 70.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Patriots | 34c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Chargers | 20c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…355dbacked Patriots | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Patriots | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…119dbacked Chargers | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Chargers | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…dad6backed Patriots | 71c | 46.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc66…30babacked Chargers | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Patriots | 37c | 40.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Chargers | 61c | 40.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Chargers | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Patriots | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Chargers | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a1…4173backed Patriots | 39c | 35.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Chargers | 60c | 33.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…a645backed Chargers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…5bb9backed Chargers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Patriots | 58c | 32.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…4b15backed Patriots | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…60a4backed Patriots | 70c | 28.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked Chargers | 60c | 27.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Chargers | 55c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x295c…a424backed Patriots | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Patriots won
- Chargers vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 47.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 49.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.