NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x055026d28124957d8be056cdaf5e1d68594aeb7ce9c7d48391f7c249c0f098aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 28,252$13,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,918.82 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 53c | 21,205$11,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,193.05 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 47c | 20,104$9,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,655.34 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 53c | 17,983$9,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,530.87 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 12,818$6,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,793.4 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 11,827$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.71 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 51c | 8,010$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 75c | 4,183$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.89 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 75c | 4,007$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.69 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Over | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Over | 45c | 2,900$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 48c | 2,182$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.61 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Over | 53c | 1,900$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…5102backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 1,177$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.72 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Over | 53c | 1,043$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked Under | 55c | 902.24$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 55c | 900.99$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 54c | 833.33$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 769$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.57 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 683.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.35 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…03bcbacked Over | 56c | 534.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5284backed Under | 48c | 497.25$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 47c | 470.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 53c | 444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Over | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…3be4backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 6c | 347.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.42 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Over | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 55c | 256.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Over | 53c | 220.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.68 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Over | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…e578backed Under | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 155.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +11.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 138.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…3111backed Over | 54c | 89.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 46c | 87.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed Over | 53c | 83.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed1…efcbbacked Over | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 71.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 64.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…512cbacked Under | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…d089backed Over | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 56.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Under | 46c | 46.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Over | 54c | 46.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over | 53c | 46.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbf…bd8ebacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…67e0backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 46c | 34.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…48f2backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 32.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 29.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…700fbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 56c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 51c | 26.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…4dc6backed Over | 53c | 25.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…5d99backed Over | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Patriots won
- Chargers vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 47.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 49.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.