NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbfeecdfdc7feeba06e18f21d13b250d0307bc34606796a8d47442618a19f4be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Chargers, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,161,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,599,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,161,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Chargers | 35c | 314,832$110,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,191.15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Patriots | 65c | 200,000$130,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,999.97 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Chargers | 36c | 148,265$53,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,375.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Patriots | 64c | 129,100$82,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,093.8 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Chargers | 33c | 103,802$34,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,008.78 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Chargers | 35c | 100,848$35,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,799.35 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Chargers | 37c | 100,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…d05dbacked Chargers | 0c | 98,986$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Patriots | 64c | 94,413$60,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,988.75 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chargers | 36c | 85,368$30,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,641.52 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Patriots | 64c | 85,036$54,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,599.45 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Patriots | 64c | 78,863$50,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,390.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Patriots | 65c | 75,000$48,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,250 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Chargers | 35c | 73,619$26,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000.72 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots | 69c | 69,682$48,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,405.43 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Patriots | 66c | 59,146$38,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,280.7 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chargers | 39c | 55,809$21,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,694.09 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Chargers | 20c | 54,845$11,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,032.98 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Patriots | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Patriots | 66c | 47,641$31,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,197.97 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Chargers | 16c | 45,500$7,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,164.98 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Chargers | 37c | 45,000$16,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,650 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Chargers | 10c | 44,351$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.53 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chargers | 35c | 43,678$15,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,080.92 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Chargers | 34c | 39,260$13,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,348.38 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chargers | 21c | 37,778$7,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,821.76 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…7cc3backed Patriots | 64c | 37,451$23,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,543.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Patriots | 69c | 36,957$25,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,502.77 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Patriots | 64c | 36,705$23,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,293.81 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chargers | 12c | 36,477$4,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,295.11 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots | 63c | 34,420$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,719.68 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chargers | 10c | 34,224$3,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.24 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Chargers | 36c | 33,531$12,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,071.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Chargers | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.97 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chargers | 17c | 29,627$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,958.68 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Chargers | 13c | 29,600$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chargers | 32c | 28,819$9,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,358.27 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chargers | 35c | 28,232$9,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,881.18 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Patriots | 65c | 27,849$18,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,843.56 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Patriots | 64c | 27,520$17,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,987.65 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Chargers | 29c | 24,313$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,124.91 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Chargers | 0c | 23,584$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots | 65c | 23,416$15,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,228.91 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Patriots | 65c | 21,678$14,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,587.43 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Chargers | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Chargers | 34c | 20,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Patriots | 66c | 19,685$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,785.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chargers | 35c | 19,250$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,669.89 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Patriots | 66c | 18,367$12,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Patriots | 64c | 16,658$10,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,036.75 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Chargers | 36c | 16,498$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Patriots | 62c | 16,006$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Chargers | 35c | 16,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Chargers | 35c | 15,661$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481.37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Patriots | 64c | 15,502$9,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,606.66 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Chargers | 29c | 15,500$4,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,495 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Patriots | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Patriots | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Chargers | 36c | 15,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Chargers | 35c | 15,000$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.19 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Chargers | 35c | 14,898$5,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.3 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Chargers | 39c | 14,545$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Chargers | 42c | 14,522$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.61 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Chargers | 35c | 14,500$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.99 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…9ab5backed Chargers | 39c | 14,103$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673f…428cbacked Patriots | 65c | 13,650$8,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers | 35c | 13,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Patriots | 65c | 12,692$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Chargers | 35c | 12,031$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.02 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Patriots | 65c | 11,780$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.4 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Chargers | 36c | 11,429$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.26 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chargers | 43c | 11,336$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.06 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Chargers | 3c | 11,177$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Patriots | 65c | 10,946$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.25 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Patriots | 64c | 10,789$6,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.76 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Patriots | 65c | 10,628$6,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac8…1d09backed Chargers | 37c | 10,405$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chargers | 27c | 10,187$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.67 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chargers | 34c | 10,040$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.61 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chargers | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Patriots | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.97 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ba…5f1fbacked Chargers | 35c | 9,714$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Patriots | 65c | 9,572$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Patriots | 61c | 9,156$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Chargers | 5c | 9,070$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.11 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 24c | 8,530$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.75 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Patriots | 65c | 8,508$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.69 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Chargers | 36c | 8,431$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,035 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Patriots | 75c | 7,973$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Chargers | 29c | 7,815$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.74 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Chargers | 27c | 7,692$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.37 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Patriots | 80c | 7,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Patriots | 65c | 7,229$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Patriots | 65c | 6,923$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.08 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chargers | 12c | 6,891$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.19 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Patriots | 71c | 6,832$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.28 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Patriots | 64c | 6,730$4,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.89 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Patriots | 74c | 6,698$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Patriots | 65c | 6,559$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.69 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chargers vs. Patriotsthis page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Patriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 47.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 49.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.