NFL · resolved market
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x359f15a7db0363d8429ea9fb489aff4a4976356c5044de62c079f55db671b5fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Patriots, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,786,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,819,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,786,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Patriots | 50c | 541,544$270,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,685.02 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots | 50c | 402,419$200,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202,101.32 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Chargers | 50c | 270,352$135,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,176.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Chargers | 50c | 173,466$86,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,688.91 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Chargers | 49c | 167,999$82,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,319.75 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Patriots | 51c | 166,698$84,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,349 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Chargers | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Chargers | 50c | 100,522$50,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,704.03 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Patriots | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Chargers | 50c | 97,671$48,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,848.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Patriots | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Chargers | 49c | 68,507$33,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,868.59 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Chargers | 49c | 60,525$29,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,657.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chargers | 48c | 50,000$24,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,199.98 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Patriots | 51c | 35,102$17,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,199.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chargers | 49c | 34,337$16,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,970.89 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Chargers | 50c | 29,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Chargers | 49c | 27,517$13,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,408.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Patriots | 51c | 22,229$11,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,892.36 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Chargers | 50c | 20,803$10,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,417.76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Chargers | 50c | 20,180$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Chargers | 49c | 20,037$9,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,817.65 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Chargers | 49c | 20,021$9,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,810.15 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chargers | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Chargers | 53c | 16,426$8,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,706 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chargers | 50c | 15,609$7,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,881.97 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.96 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,349.93 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Patriots | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Patriots | 51c | 12,877$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.55 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Patriots | 52c | 11,100$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Chargers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Chargers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.77 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Patriots | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Patriots | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chargers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Patriots | 45c | 9,806$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.07 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x673f…428cbacked Patriots | 51c | 8,100$4,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Chargers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…e118backed Chargers | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Patriots | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.98 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Chargers | 54c | 7,053$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.9 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Chargers | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Chargers | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.96 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Patriots | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Chargers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Chargers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Chargers | 50c | 5,999$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.26 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Patriots | 52c | 5,922$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.57 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Patriots | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…8bedbacked Patriots | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chargers | 49c | 5,714$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.86 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…55b7backed Patriots | 47c | 5,684$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Chargers | 49c | 5,645$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 50c | 4,923$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.06 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Chargers | 51c | 4,493$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.43 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Patriots | 51c | 3,905$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…6e34backed Patriots | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chargers | 50c | 3,677$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.7 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Chargers | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Chargers | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Patriots | 51c | 3,276$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Patriots | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Chargers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Chargers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Chargers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Patriots | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chargers | 49c | 2,312$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.79 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Patriots | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Chargers | 50c | 2,203$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.67 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Chargers | 50c | 2,200$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Chargers | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Chargers | 50c | 2,045$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Patriots | 50c | 2,019$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.23 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Patriots | 51c | 2,004$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.92 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Patriots | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chargers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Patriots | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Patriots | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Chargers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Chargers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Chargers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Chargers | 49c | 1,964$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.3 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Patriots | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Patriots | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Chargers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Patriots | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Patriots | 50c | 1,940$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.56 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Chargers | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Patriots | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Chargers | 50c | 1,920$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Patriots | 52c | 1,827$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.14 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…4d15backed Chargers | 50c | 1,805$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb404…ca32backed Chargers | 3c | 1,798$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Patriots | 51c | 1,742$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Patriots | 49c | 1,688$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.19 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Patriots | 50c | 1,565$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Patriots | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Chargers | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Patriots | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Patriots (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Patriots won
- Chargers vs. PatriotsPatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 47.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 49.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Patriots (-1.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Patriots won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Patriots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.