TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb74b…f6b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst College Football at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$702
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$212
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$161.95
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+110%+$837.97
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+99.1%+$965.55
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$127.25
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,046.4
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$578.63
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+42.3%+$905.69
Will Normal Powell win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bobby Portis Jr. win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$707.67
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+90.7%+$951
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$44.9
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.6%+$932.86
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,219
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$433.99
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$306
Nuggets vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$980.01
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$256
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+100%+$750
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+44.2%+$1,352.54
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$572
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+83.2%+$454
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$79.25
Chile Open: Francesco Passaro vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$371
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Rublev (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+93.5%+$417.98
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$718
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$322
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Francisco Comesanabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+142.1%+$585.61
Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+116.6%+$664.63
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$202.3
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+233.3%+$231
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+118.1%+$609.11
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$5,393.99
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$181.21
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,104.2
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+55%+$426
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+68.6%+$420.33
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,202
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Halysbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Adelaide International: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.06
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+426.3%+$324
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.5%+$310.77
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,029
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$490
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.8%+$1,530
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+87.8%+$1,843.61
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$198.97
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,784.65
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$144
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$336
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,543Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.8%+$1,621.58
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$782.55
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,457.29
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,044
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$189
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,002
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$576
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$308
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,272.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+84.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,529.1
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$255
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$418
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49%+$361.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$574.7
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Spread: Real Madrid (-0.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$515
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$251.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$722
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$213.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Peter be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$364.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.