TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shapovalovof Shapovalov, Fokina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$267,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Shapovalov55c30,077$16,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,534.86552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Shapovalov74c25,427$18,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,518.155658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Fokina23c22,651$5,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,205.692,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Fokina45c17,850$8,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,032.3135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Shapovalov56c15,676$8,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,837.852,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Fokina27c8,818$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.941,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Fokina45c7,001$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.4576146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shapovalov66c6,727$4,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.038,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Fokina46c6,528$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Shapovalov62c5,978$3,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.9881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Fokina8c5,052$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0111242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Fokina41c4,615$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9105853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Fokina48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…f5f6backed Shapovalov60c3,875$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Shapovalov53c3,525$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.8276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Fokina69c3,269$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.427357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Fokina43c2,653$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.811,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fokina9c2,618$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Fokina42c2,345$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98430847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Fokina44c2,298$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Fokina46c2,154$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Fokina67c2,023$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3461,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Fokina45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Shapovalov55c1,954$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.251,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Fokina41c1,947$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.42,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Shapovalov56c1,889$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.168158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Shapovalov47c1,676$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.621,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Fokina46c1,645$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.3338133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shapovalov62c1,633$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.0420653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Fokina46c1,544$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70898240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Fokina44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.999044.4%40 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Shapovalov58c1,497$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.056026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8607…f4d1backed Shapovalov57c1,378$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Fokina40c1,045$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Shapovalov57c1,027$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.4863247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Fokina47c990$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.365157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Fokina43c912.22$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Shapovalov53c885.16$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.0293055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shapovalov72c837.17$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Shapovalov56c807$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.93063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Fokina40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32026847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Fokina45c799.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.957644.7%34 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Shapovalov55c785.27$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2237339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Fokina43c698.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Fokina52c656$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.9797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Fokina46c654.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Shapovalov31c638.78$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.0768026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Fokina41c635.29$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.471,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201b…9146backed Fokina8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Shapovalov41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3818636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Fokina40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24019637.2%73 W · 123 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Fokina39c599.99$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23481938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fokina42c586.31$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.257,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Shapovalov45c582$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.4813134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Fokina45c567$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1521338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shapovalov55c560.2$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.661,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Shapovalov56c539.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.895048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Shapovalov56c519.77$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7735730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Shapovalov69c510.11$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1114858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Fokina45c504.98$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.249558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Shapovalov57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Fokina45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…20a3backed Shapovalov42c500$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Fokina39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19539438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a63…de95backed Shapovalov55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4614…6002backed Fokina44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Shapovalov60c498.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8442042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8c…ee73backed Shapovalov56c496.41$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-74.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Shapovalov56c490.52$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8312951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57be…5bb4backed Shapovalov57c488$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Fokina47c471.51$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.66835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Shapovalov59c465.39$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2110943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fokina45c449$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Shapovalov65c440.53$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.283461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Fokina47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f64…8775backed Fokina8c421.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Shapovalov56c407.93$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9351849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Shapovalov55c397.38$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.781,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf002…275ebacked Fokina34c392.74$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.164240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Shapovalov54c351.14$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5326535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Shapovalov60c334.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6321758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Fokina45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Shapovalov30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d24…6564backed Fokina72c321.61$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.61850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Fokina45c319.17$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14511454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Shapovalov56c304.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.352,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Fokina41c300.01$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.234,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Fokina68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20415244.1%67 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Fokina29c299.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8716133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fokina28c296$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.271,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Fokina49c295.59$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7412154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Fokina41c292.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.35056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0883…18bdbacked Fokina46c279.21$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Shapovalov56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.861,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Fokina40c248.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Fokina41c247.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.746,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Shapovalov41c245.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5728322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Fokina66c233.36$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.17366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Fokina46c232.39$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.923945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Shapovalov56c229.5$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.983154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.