TailMyPicks
Market

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,423,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,626,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,423,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked No21c1,046,285$223,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223,060.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes64c175,934$112,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,092.42729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No59c165,321$97,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,662.21825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No50c127,728$64,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,442.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…7356backed Yes68c125,550$84,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,756.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked No66c125,143$82,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,378.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes6c108,186$6,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,695.161225%3 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+73.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No34c107,620$36,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,198.474436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e51…ba30backed Yes48c98,610$47,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,246.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25c…6430backed Yes33c87,402$28,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,801.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No45c76,409$34,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,338.222218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No56c71,508$40,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,042.64951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed No27c63,640$17,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,429.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No45c58,245$25,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,993.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9b…1d68backed Yes72c48,907$34,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,917.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No68c45,260$30,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,751.643525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x616d…bf7dbacked Yes70c44,177$30,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,253.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes26c42,301$10,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,371.23156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-74.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No30c39,999$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes25c39,853$9,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,961.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+101.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd581…2b59backed Yes36c39,756$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,256.011010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No35c39,607$13,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,810.75133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed No32c39,144$12,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,522.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes52c37,699$19,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,955.7211712%14 W · 103 L-23.7wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-73.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1cfc…b8e0backed Yes10c30,163$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,163.4156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes56c30,084$16,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,201.941631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes6c29,573$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,845.14687.4%5 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No58c28,963$16,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,884.6316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-81.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Yes36c28,670$10,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,374.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes61c28,165$17,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,074.38456.7%3 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-87.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes58c27,520$15,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,615.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes8c25,951$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,836.09329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a5…4dd9backed No19c25,647$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970.31190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Yes36c25,494$9,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,371.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+179.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd7…c442backed No0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes40c24,828$9,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,985.574323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes7c24,271$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,572.43258%2 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed No17c24,030$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,972.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No64c23,977$15,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,327.811947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes35c22,500$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,624.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No1c21,700$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.21283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-51.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes70c21,222$14,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,366.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes56c20,376$11,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,010.6414043.6%61 W · 79 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes22c20,224$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,723.3147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No36c20,163$7,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,236.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes56c19,940$11,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,816.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb005…e690backed No31c18,478$5,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,658.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes36c18,417$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,786.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed No64c17,692$11,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,362.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No48c17,643$8,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,458.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2601…61a9backed Yes8c17,432$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,109.131010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes66c17,000$11,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8501758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206d…ae27backed Yes71c16,895$11,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes62c16,539$10,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,229.61540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa864…f500backed Yes17c16,363$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,587.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+96.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0df…69c5backed No10c15,985$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.2340%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No32c15,355$4,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,941.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes52c15,337$7,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,428.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58a0…2b5bbacked No31c15,241$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.72210%0 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes63c15,079$9,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-60.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes68c15,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,800520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-70.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9386…fdfebacked Yes71c15,000$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e5…5955backed Yes37c14,865$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,364.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…4721backed Yes7c14,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2991030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+78.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Yes7c14,286$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,285.71205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a90…2827backed Yes7c14,286$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,285.71922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick8cpaid+197.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba96…71d6backed Yes70c14,251$9,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes36c14,212$5,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,028.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac2…e8cebacked Yes69c14,123$9,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,326.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes71c13,995$9,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,055.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes36c13,900$5,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes45c12,850$5,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,069.87911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-75.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4012…a72dbacked Yes43c12,760$5,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,303.761010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-76.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes47c12,445$5,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,594.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-29.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d88…6bf6backed Yes48c12,130$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,250.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x401e…467dbacked Yes36c11,806$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,555.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Yes11c11,117$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,928.641618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc693…72dbbacked Yes36c11,111$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,111.111711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-69.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes43c11,104$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,283.55287.1%2 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes52c11,000$5,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,286.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc078…5415backed No31c10,847$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed No61c10,764$6,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,56630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ce…ab3abacked No77c10,710$8,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,246.910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes48c10,359$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,353.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Yes39c10,145$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,220.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+158.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked No0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd335…ca2cbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes79c9,985$7,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.6322546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Yes75c9,813$7,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.53119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-87.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes36c9,722$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,222.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No31c9,555$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed No31c9,452$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.69260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3379…f0b4backed Yes23c9,380$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,185.28540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e60…0028backed No30c9,326$2,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes9c9,257$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,415.71368.3%3 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Yes31c9,041$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,215.51333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a16…33dbbacked Yes39c8,992$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,500.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.