TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7ce…ab3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$998.85
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$994.8
Will the Lions and Commanders combine for 56 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$960.6
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,951Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$2,693.92
Patriots vs. Jaguarsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$560.69
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$487.7
Dolphins vs. Titans - Will there be 38 or more combined points scored?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$599.08
BAL vs. BUF: Will there be 47 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Bengals beat the Panthers by 5 or more points?backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$446.74
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$611.11
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+35.4%+$172.61
Will there be 37 or more combined points scored?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$161
Saints vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$1,209.44
Eagles vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$1,016.64
Will the Texans win by 6 or more points?backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$192.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Hawaii: O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,407.82
O/U 69.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,924Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$2,490.9
Will Utah beat TCU?backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will there be 57 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+100%+$780.35
Will Utah beat Arizona?backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Will Penn St. beat Illinois by 18 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$500.5
Will Baylor beat BYU?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+138.3%+$691.66
Will Michigan beat Minnesota by 10 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$536.69
Will Rutgers beat Washington?backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$635.13
Will USC beat Michigan?backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$1,220.89
Will Iowa win by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$472.88
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+71%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,967.49
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,892Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,892.47
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$610.46
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,926Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+128.4%+$3,758.62
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$3,908
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,765.48
Austin: Caty McNally vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,109
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Schnell vs. Durdenbacked Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$483.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,960.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,117
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$8,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,246.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.