Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between Girona and Feyenoord end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1b32b9248cbb5511516d941364b7e96a1041ae7d29633accf7a8222ce3a6f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 35c | 6,999$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.44 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 65c | 4,584$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.46 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…f448backed No | 62c | 2,214$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ce…ab3abacked Yes | 35c | 1,708$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…aad4backed Yes | 27c | 681.73$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…f6b5backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…adeebacked Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…065dbacked No | 76c | 289.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 73c | 271.63$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 73c | 65.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 74c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Girona and Feyenoord end in a draw?this page
- Will Feyenoord beat Girona?Yes won
- Will Girona beat Feyenoord?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.