Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord beat Girona?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3f943d978b81b6cc32a991977fef3450b5fae214ead9d43ee5c842ed8d5915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd2b…d9f9backed No | 53c | 2,585$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…f448backed No | 53c | 2,214$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 50c | 2,156$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.46 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,152$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.65 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 75c | 2,131$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.67 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 59c | 1,984$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 42c | 1,024$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.84 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 36c | 810.35$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 64c | 482.8$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…adeebacked Yes | 30c | 338$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed No | 76c | 287.25$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.31 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed No | 43c | 277.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 25c | 230$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 74c | 146.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…ee8ebacked Yes | 57c | 137.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed No | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes | 26c | 120.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked Yes | 26c | 96.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…bdb0backed Yes | 35c | 84.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…4c89backed Yes | 80c | 56.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 30c | 41.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 73c | 38.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord beat Girona?this page
- Will Girona beat Feyenoord?No won
- Will the match between Girona and Feyenoord end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.