MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd266dbc9fe63792a41296852dc59d7ce8bef6f74fbc1de079b12f7b6af3d6d29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Philadelphia Phillies, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7ce…ab3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 10,514$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 7,476$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.66 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 6,933$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.66 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 6,494$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.65 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 5,556$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,827$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.07 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 3,419$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.55 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 3,055$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.49 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,193$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.17 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,938$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,723$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.65 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +221.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,257$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.82 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,164$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 990.14$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.77 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 887.82$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.52 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 885$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.55 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 735.65$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 669.42$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 663.37$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 621.65$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.15 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 590.28$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 579.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 569.27$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 525.31$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.81 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 519.21$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 386.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 385.52$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.73 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 362.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 348.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 260.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 230.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 230.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 230.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 219.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 219.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 219.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 201.69$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 194.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 190.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 175.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 151.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 150.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 130.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 99.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 97.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 95.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 84.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 76.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 76.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 72.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 72.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 72.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 70.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 69.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 69.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 69.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 69.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 69.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 69.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 64.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 62.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 60.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 60.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 59.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 49.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 48.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 46.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…217cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 41.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…5187backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 40.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 36.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 32.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 32.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 32.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 31.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 30.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 29.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c1…ab1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 24.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 24.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 24.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.