MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bc14cb8edb993b4501dda31c40564eae137a5e891295ab40eaee75d02c62225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 67,380$25,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,775.8 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 39,088$24,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,234.56 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 38,902$8,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,425.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 26,779$21,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,008.18 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 26,112$5,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,795.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 24,430$15,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,146.6 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 15,815$12,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,469.64 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 11,209$7,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,397.17 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 10,186$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.57 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 9,518$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 8,489$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 8,485$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 8,342$5,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.66 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 7,704$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.18 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 7,392$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,657.26 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 6,503$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.45 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 6,395$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.35 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 4,498$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.82 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 4,087$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.93 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 3,500$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.73 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,437$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.2 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 3,370$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 3,152$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.4 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 2,451$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.44 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 2,266$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.53 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 2,032$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 1,983$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.33 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 1,771$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.83 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,355$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.07 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 1,257$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.23 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,218$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.14 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 1,203$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.09 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…5732backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,148$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 1,096$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.14 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 1,036$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.17 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 1,027$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.26 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 1,016$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.08 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 850.03$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 839.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 819.98$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.29 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 803.31$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.53 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…2fd6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 796.42$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 789.22$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 743.87$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.95 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 717.38$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.78 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 698.88$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.2 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 661.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.39 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 661.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.73 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 650.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 628.48$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.53 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 617.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 600.05$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 550$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 532.14$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 498.62$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.35 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 491.76$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 476.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 475.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 443.09$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 433.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 422.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.59 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 410.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.83 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 400.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 392.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.16 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 390.88$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.35 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 389.32$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.35 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 378.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 331.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 329.88$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 299.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 298.68$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.97 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 275.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 266.37$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 260.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 257.52$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 257.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 252.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 250.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 250.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 248.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 244.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 226.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.57 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 221.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.