MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd33b16024f848aadb4f0367ba975abb127f9d9f36bc1a7c39fa7f5b28b70270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 200,107$108,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,998.19 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Over | 46c | 76,907$35,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,217.48 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 46c | 50,258$23,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,146.91 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 45,114$24,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,219.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 44,484$19,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,637.79 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 36,770$16,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,072.92 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Over | 46c | 21,790$9,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,842.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Over | 46c | 9,305$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.58 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 6,692$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.48 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 4,342$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.22 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Under | 55c | 3,986$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.39 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 3,812$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.98 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 44c | 3,699$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.61 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Under | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 3,269$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 3,219$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.5 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 3,045$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over | 44c | 2,969$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.8 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 2,842$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.22 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…4039backed Over | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 46c | 2,224$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.94 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 2,176$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.2 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…0162backed Over | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.88 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 54c | 1,722$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.16 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 45c | 1,692$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.86 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 46c | 1,656$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.36 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…1123backed Over | 46c | 1,469$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 1,336$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.84 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 47c | 1,251$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.03 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,152$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 1,146$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.03 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 1,118$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.11 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 1,118$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.11 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8692backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 54c | 903.44$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.14 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 44c | 893.92$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.6 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 55c | 885.68$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.47 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 801.75$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.84 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Under | 55c | 785.57$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.06 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 714.01$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under | 43c | 670.52$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 660.21$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.72 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1dbabacked Over | 46c | 643.62$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 54c | 584.59$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 46c | 580.56$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 46c | 536.39$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.65 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 46c | 491.71$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.52 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 52c | 474.77$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 460.39$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 439.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 46c | 398.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 45c | 386.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.51 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 378.33$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 52c | 334.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 44c | 333$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 307.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Under | 55c | 305.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 48c | 294.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 44c | 241.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Over | 44c | 222.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Under | 54c | 213.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 52c | 212.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Under | 52c | 195.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 52c | 185.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 46c | 178.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 52c | 173.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 171.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked Under | 55c | 170.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 45c | 154.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 52c | 137.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 56c | 132.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 47c | 118.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 54c | 115.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 44c | 112.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 52c | 109.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 55c | 105.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 100.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 44c | 98.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d8…a180backed Over | 50c | 95.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 52c | 94.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesArizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.