NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f8142a1fa632341d611b5f3ee1403d358150e4b598c972232f721bde5edfa0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Packers, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Packers | 56c | 8,496$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.29 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Vikings | 43c | 6,910$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.95 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Vikings | 70c | 5,233$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.65 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Packers | 58c | 4,890$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Vikings | 44c | 4,546$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Packers | 53c | 3,059$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.34 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Packers | 44c | 3,007$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Packers | 32c | 2,941$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.43 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Packers | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.88 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Vikings | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.4 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Packers | 9c | 2,180$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Packers | 25c | 2,025$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.08 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Vikings | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…1046backed Vikings | 45c | 1,952$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Vikings | 55c | 1,516$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.3 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0a…84c7backed Vikings | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…6d79backed Packers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Vikings | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc5…2ffabacked Packers | 56c | 894.64$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ce…ab3abacked Packers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Vikings | 45c | 827.41$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.5 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Packers | 57c | 599.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.42 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Vikings | 43c | 531.18$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.77 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Vikings | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Packers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Vikings | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Vikings | 52c | 484.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.01 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Vikings | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Vikings | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Packers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Packers | 9c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Packers | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Packers | 54c | 373.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Vikings | 43c | 335$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.95 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Vikings | 42c | 334.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…e394backed Packers | 26c | 311.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Vikings | 42c | 292.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…0d32backed Packers | 56c | 286.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Vikings | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Packers | 59c | 244$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Vikings | 42c | 238.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.55 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked Vikings | 44c | 227.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…1951backed Vikings | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Vikings | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…073abacked Vikings | 45c | 212.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Vikings | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…b2aabacked Vikings | 42c | 180.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Packers | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…0abbbacked Vikings | 43c | 176.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…ac1cbacked Packers | 58c | 169.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…a77cbacked Vikings | 43c | 169.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Vikings | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…6a77backed Packers | 36c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…c8bfbacked Vikings | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…4c76backed Vikings | 43c | 144.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…afafbacked Packers | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed Packers | 40c | 137.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Vikings | 42c | 119.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Vikings | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…c417backed Vikings | 46c | 109$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Packers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…eff0backed Packers | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Packers | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…bad2backed Packers | 57c | 102.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede2…b6b4backed Vikings | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x774c…319ebacked Vikings | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Packers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Vikings | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Packers | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…d419backed Packers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Packers | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Vikings | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Vikings | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…e436backed Packers | 59c | 99.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…7520backed Packers | 59c | 99.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…5848backed Vikings | 42c | 98.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…9caebacked Vikings | 42c | 98.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Vikings | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Vikings | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Packers | 13c | 92.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…9b8bbacked Packers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…bd03backed Vikings | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…c130backed Packers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Packers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Vikings | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…58f4backed Vikings | 45c | 74.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fe…e468backed Packers | 58c | 74.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Vikings | 43c | 70.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…474dbacked Packers | 57c | 70.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…e6e6backed Vikings | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Vikings | 45c | 55.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…df58backed Vikings | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Vikings | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Vikings | 42c | 54.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Vikings | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Packers | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…0be9backed Vikings | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Vikings | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…bf33backed Vikings | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…7708backed Vikings | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.