NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b4740e68bae2e344ad9cac74ce00fb4b8cb5894c00294b6923c6365ffb94f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Patriots, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Jaguars | 71c | 19,447$13,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,587.63 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…e24ebacked Patriots | 28c | 13,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…9b3ebacked Patriots | 28c | 12,840$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jaguars | 63c | 7,915$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.26 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Jaguars | 74c | 6,806$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.74 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…0d19backed Jaguars | 72c | 6,700$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Patriots | 29c | 6,174$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…1233backed Jaguars | 72c | 5,700$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Patriots | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…b00dbacked Patriots | 2c | 4,882$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Patriots | 3c | 3,981$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…8501backed Patriots | 11c | 3,436$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…5649backed Patriots | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…2491backed Jaguars | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jaguars | 69c | 2,763$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.61 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…7b38backed Patriots | 31c | 2,749$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Patriots | 30c | 2,021$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.23 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ce…ab3abacked Patriots | 29c | 1,933$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Jaguars | 73c | 1,918$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Patriots | 54c | 1,856$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…fa48backed Jaguars | 72c | 1,830$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Jaguars | 62c | 1,828$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.05 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Patriots | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Patriots | 29c | 1,527$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.71 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Patriots | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Jaguars | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…26acbacked Patriots | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Patriots | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Patriots | 29c | 1,255$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Jaguars | 67c | 1,254$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.64 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…6e48backed Jaguars | 71c | 1,248$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e61abacked Jaguars | 52c | 1,149$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jaguars | 69c | 1,138$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.12 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Jaguars | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Jaguars | 69c | 1,090$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.89 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Patriots | 30c | 1,064$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.09 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Patriots | 1c | 1,017$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Jaguars | 71c | 1,003$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Patriots | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Jaguars | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Patriots | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Patriots | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Patriots | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Jaguars | 69c | 999.95$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Jaguars | 70c | 981.03$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.17 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Patriots | 31c | 966.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…3b04backed Patriots | 29c | 896.55$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Patriots | 8c | 846.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots | 28c | 832.64$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ca…9f7abacked Jaguars | 72c | 830.67$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…47e4backed Patriots | 14c | 813.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Patriots | 16c | 807.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Jaguars | 70c | 667$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…d066backed Patriots | 31c | 620$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Patriots | 30c | 565.77$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Patriots | 18c | 525.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Patriots | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Patriots | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Jaguars | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Patriots | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Patriots | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Jaguars | 70c | 471.43$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Patriots | 31c | 460.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Patriots | 32c | 457.03$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Jaguars | 73c | 453.77$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Patriots | 26c | 453.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Patriots | 35c | 450$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…bb6cbacked Jaguars | 46c | 440$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Jaguars | 71c | 422.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Patriots | 32c | 405.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Patriots | 50c | 401.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Patriots | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Patriots | 30c | 399.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Jaguars | 72c | 359.75$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Patriots | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…8e5ebacked Jaguars | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Patriots | 30c | 335.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Patriots | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Jaguars | 77c | 321.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Patriots | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Patriots | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…034abacked Patriots | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Patriots | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…9bb8backed Jaguars | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…1a3abacked Jaguars | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Patriots | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…b71ebacked Jaguars | 70c | 297$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Patriots | 29c | 296.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Jaguars | 68c | 287.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Patriots | 23c | 285.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…2bb8backed Jaguars | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Patriots | 30c | 258.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Patriots | 10c | 250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…0410backed Patriots | 53c | 235.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…a619backed Jaguars | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…365fbacked Patriots | 44c | 228.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…1b97backed Jaguars | 73c | 226.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…6681backed Patriots | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Patriots | 30c | 207.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Jaguars | 72c | 205.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.