TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x367c…f5f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$27.22
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$1,100
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+37%+$324.48
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+33.8%+$202.53
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$450
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+58.7%+$175.66
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$600
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+233.3%+$209.37
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+59%+$29.49
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$350
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+56%+$112.05
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+25%+$20.49
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+300%+$450
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.11
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2024, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Jaguarsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$129.91
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$370
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$239.91
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$204
Colts vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.65
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$174.51
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$51.17
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$161.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$24.51
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+40%+$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.