NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272146278d2fd07a0a52d8b543febae5a3c0a6325c7bb1ca4d41b661cd6a2ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Grizzlies, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x062c…6159backed Grizzlies | 1c | 23,592$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Warriors | 75c | 6,075$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.72 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…ec16backed Warriors | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…3fe3backed Grizzlies | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 2,830$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.68 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Warriors | 72c | 2,496$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.39 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ec…c561backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,894$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,710$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Grizzlies | 20c | 1,560$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.34 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Warriors | 73c | 1,534$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Warriors | 72c | 1,257$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.45 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 1,230$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.19 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Grizzlies | 24c | 1,146$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.53 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,144$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.05 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 26c | 999.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Grizzlies | 23c | 843.43$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…b624backed Warriors | 73c | 823.12$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Warriors | 75c | 802.53$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…6222backed Warriors | 74c | 751.32$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Grizzlies | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Warriors | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Grizzlies | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 23c | 682.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Grizzlies | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79b…8316backed Warriors | 74c | 542.81$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Grizzlies | 29c | 515.26$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Grizzlies | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…3561backed Grizzlies | 28c | 442.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…89a0backed Grizzlies | 27c | 430.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…c80ebacked Grizzlies | 30c | 430$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…d659backed Warriors | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Warriors | 71c | 391.41$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Grizzlies | 13c | 372.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…dc5fbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…a624backed Warriors | 74c | 346.57$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f73…2121backed Grizzlies | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…49a2backed Warriors | 74c | 329.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Grizzlies | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies | 19c | 306.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…3606backed Grizzlies | 27c | 281.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Warriors | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…f618backed Warriors | 74c | 264.24$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…28c6backed Grizzlies | 27c | 259.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Grizzlies | 21c | 253.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Warriors | 70c | 241.45$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf685…f877backed Grizzlies | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Grizzlies | 24c | 220.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Warriors | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Grizzlies | 26c | 200.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Grizzlies | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Grizzlies | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Grizzlies | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Grizzlies | 29c | 198.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6099…bae1backed Grizzlies | 27c | 187.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Warriors | 77c | 182.52$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Grizzlies | 27c | 180.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Grizzlies | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 33c | 179.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Grizzlies | 26c | 167.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Warriors | 74c | 161.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Grizzlies | 15c | 159.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…6fd3backed Grizzlies | 25c | 150.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Grizzlies | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Grizzlies | 8c | 148.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…29e5backed Warriors | 75c | 144.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 23c | 141.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…7776backed Warriors | 74c | 139.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors | 67c | 137.86$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…5694backed Warriors | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacf…b9f4backed Grizzlies | 26c | 134.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…d809backed Grizzlies | 26c | 132.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Warriors | 75c | 130.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 73c | 122.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…111cbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…5485backed Warriors | 74c | 114.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…88d2backed Warriors | 75c | 112.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Warriors | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb34…354bbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 108.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Warriors | 60c | 100.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Warriors | 75c | 100.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Warriors | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…9ce2backed Grizzlies | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Grizzlies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Grizzlies | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed Warriors | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…7462backed Grizzlies | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…a88dbacked Warriors | 73c | 91.78$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…e6cdbacked Warriors | 77c | 90.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…99b5backed Warriors | 73c | 90.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…4629backed Warriors | 78c | 89.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…0419backed Warriors | 74c | 82.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.