TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Clippers, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder77c15,136$11,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.9647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Clippers1c10,966$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.31,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Clippers25c5,214$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.442540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Clippers20c5,010$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Thunder70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.982564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Clippers16c3,966$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.8561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Clippers10c3,474$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1911332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers25c3,017$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.361,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Clippers30c2,865$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.58439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Thunder71c2,365$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.918046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Clippers30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Thunder71c1,654$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.6770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8025…ef54backed Thunder70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833d…faedbacked Thunder71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4351040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Clippers27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x367c…f5f5backed Clippers31c1,452$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd65a…5529backed Clippers28c1,442$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.83837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Thunder73c1,371$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked Thunder72c1,103$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.78580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Thunder73c1,000$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.723548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Clippers29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29019642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Clippers29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29027642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clippers29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Clippers28c999.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Clippers28c999.96$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Thunder75c964.49$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7111459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Clippers27c941.3$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1516242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Thunder71c873.06$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.195950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Thunder69c867.13$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.818053.8%43 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Thunder71c858.72$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.034940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Clippers24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Thunder71c799.95$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.981838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Clippers29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Clippers30c676.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers7c604.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Clippers28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3596…2d3fbacked Thunder72c559.79$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.89580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1604…21b6backed Clippers31c517.17$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.561442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Thunder72c503.52$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.527346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Clippers11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Clippers25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe51…3982backed Thunder73c453.75$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.514517.8%8 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Clippers29c444.83$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13111428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers4c441.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.671,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers26c431.87$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.021,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…00c2backed Clippers26c419.01$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7254…e002backed Thunder72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c88…4c64backed Clippers29c413.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Clippers25c403.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7418316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Clippers8c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Clippers32c385.13$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x698c…5f40backed Clippers19c366.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.322326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801e…8d2ebacked Thunder72c345.38$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…2e3cbacked Clippers29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+63.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Clippers15c336$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Clippers30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Thunder71c332.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5720245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29f…2f53backed Clippers30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Clippers28c296.34$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.442425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf081…718bbacked Clippers7c284.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x433e…3f60backed Thunder72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fda…8858backed Thunder73c274.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Thunder73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9730954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Thunder76c269.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Thunder65c244.71$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.658334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…a04bbacked Clippers29c237.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Clippers22c224.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ea…6f18backed Clippers14c217.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305438.9%21 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Clippers24c209.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2914542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf012…c29dbacked Clippers35c208.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd509…da33backed Clippers29c207.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Clippers28c200.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.213341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcca2…e321backed Clippers31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Clippers23c193.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2553250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Clippers16c185.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde96…5290backed Clippers32c175.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.932962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd44…edb6backed Clippers29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Clippers28c171.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9512040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Clippers30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Clippers26c149.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.577437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Clippers12c145.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7910440.4%42 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…2c09backed Thunder71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc586…35d7backed Thunder72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-82.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf42…6dd9backed Clippers29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Thunder73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.997352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…7eb7backed Thunder73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Thunder72c130.85$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4523646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Thunder68c124.06$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.721649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Clippers29c110$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.95939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Clippers29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Clippers29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…f696backed Clippers29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Thunder71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x541a…ebc4backed Clippers18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d0…a88dbacked Thunder77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231080%8 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6708…90a3backed Clippers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.191942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Clippers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45fe…edecbacked Thunder70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Thunder72c96.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.584472.7%32 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.