NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58f838a0a51ba50e6d197a594640bc24b567e7af12faade8a30286326f5a6d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Mavericks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Mavericks | 38c | 7,293$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,900$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 2,723$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.93 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,584$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.09 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Nuggets | 62c | 2,548$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.88 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,031$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.48 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Nuggets | 62c | 2,001$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.31 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Mavericks | 61c | 1,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mavericks | 41c | 1,529$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.07 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nuggets | 62c | 1,345$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.45 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mavericks | 56c | 1,203$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.5 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,148$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…8ff3backed Nuggets | 61c | 1,147$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Mavericks | 40c | 1,074$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.53 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,072$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Mavericks | 52c | 967.57$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.98 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nuggets | 34c | 963.82$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.36 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Nuggets | 62c | 960$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Mavericks | 43c | 895.08$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.88 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…5df8backed Mavericks | 37c | 894.72$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…73fdbacked Nuggets | 51c | 780$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Mavericks | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 59c | 650.44$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.68 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Nuggets | 62c | 628.59$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.59 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nuggets | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Mavericks | 53c | 603.52$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.08 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…9bbdbacked Mavericks | 29c | 500.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Mavericks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Nuggets | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Nuggets | 63c | 492.06$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Nuggets | 63c | 474.76$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Mavericks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…6bebbacked Mavericks | 40c | 379.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets | 52c | 370.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Mavericks | 30c | 367.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Nuggets | 65c | 346.55$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Nuggets | 60c | 334.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Mavericks | 40c | 332.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Nuggets | 62c | 310.88$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Nuggets | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…ecacbacked Mavericks | 27c | 290.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Mavericks | 39c | 265$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…2196backed Nuggets | 60c | 264.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…0ababacked Nuggets | 60c | 261.48$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Nuggets | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Nuggets | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…30adbacked Mavericks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…755dbacked Mavericks | 42c | 214.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Mavericks | 39c | 212.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…1b05backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Nuggets | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…d78bbacked Mavericks | 40c | 177.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +258.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…b1c8backed Nuggets | 61c | 177.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…d728backed Nuggets | 62c | 176.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Mavericks | 41c | 175.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Nuggets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…b14dbacked Mavericks | 45c | 174.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mavericks | 47c | 171.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Nuggets | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…e031backed Nuggets | 56c | 163.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Nuggets | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Mavericks | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…0241backed Nuggets | 64c | 148.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Mavericks | 34c | 144.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…bbb8backed Nuggets | 53c | 140.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 56c | 132.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Nuggets | 63c | 131.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…ff5dbacked Nuggets | 62c | 129.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Mavericks | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Nuggets | 41c | 124.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Nuggets | 57c | 118.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Mavericks | 43c | 115.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Mavericks | 43c | 110.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Nuggets | 48c | 109.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…6267backed Mavericks | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…50c3backed Mavericks | 40c | 102.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…4036backed Mavericks | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Mavericks | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Mavericks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…c531backed Nuggets | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Mavericks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2af9backed Mavericks | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Nuggets | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Nuggets | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9313…679bbacked Nuggets | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d7…9e5bbacked Mavericks | 39c | 94.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Mavericks | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Nuggets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…af69backed Nuggets | 62c | 88.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Nuggets | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Mavericks | 39c | 84.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…dd1cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 80.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…842abacked Nuggets | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.