TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Rockets, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$375,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks70c51,531$36,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,472.3747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Rockets42c36,391$15,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,201.96943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Bucks60c22,743$13,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,062.2511459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Rockets75c16,997$12,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,748.053727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Rockets1c13,830$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.32343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bucks58c13,111$7,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,505.1761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3980…724cbacked Bucks26c11,538$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,538.461723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets33c10,587$3,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.8859646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Rockets42c9,700$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,073.954526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a1f…f491backed Bucks34c8,826$2,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,843.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5aa…b6f8backed Rockets44c8,582$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.961233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks58c7,113$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.3927546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0688…d67dbacked Rockets72c5,420$3,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,906.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Rockets50c5,255$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.12119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Bucks11c4,943$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.482231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ba…3061backed Rockets33c4,694$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Bucks59c4,580$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.913050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8da…785dbacked Rockets43c4,453$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rockets18c4,245$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.1370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets23c4,026$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.261,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc3…be1abacked Rockets22c3,739$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.472839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a07bbacked Bucks58c3,691$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks58c3,536$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.121,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks58c3,445$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.4633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Rockets44c3,100$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.923548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Bucks57c3,035$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.8929043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Bucks74c2,470$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.9526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Rockets42c2,451$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.316955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Bucks58c2,400$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.938561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Bucks57c2,383$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.612040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Bucks36c2,344$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.8211332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Bucks58c2,338$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.573528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks57c2,165$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Bucks76c2,133$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.113284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Rockets3c2,106$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.321,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Rockets44c2,056$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.851752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Rockets38c2,023$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.446131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets17c1,804$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.381,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Rockets40c1,800$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7123658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Bucks58c1,750$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.8411250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db3…0d97backed Bucks58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b16…74cfbacked Bucks57c1,703$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Rockets56c1,655$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.92326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Rockets21c1,641$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Rockets43c1,611$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.7319650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc8…35aebacked Bucks26c1,533$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.391442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Rockets42c1,459$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Bucks61c1,456$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.92254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks43c1,410$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Rockets62c1,400$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.772060%12 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Bucks57c1,385$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.8550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Rockets34c1,377$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.314637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Rockets19c1,316$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505032%16 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Rockets41c1,255$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.169052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09e8…9c65backed Bucks58c1,193$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.284548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Bucks55c1,106$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.88439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1d…bfb2backed Bucks56c1,027$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.11553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rockets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Rockets43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Bucks57c999.94$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…4cc5backed Bucks59c999.84$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.931376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Bucks50c999.78$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.898343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc96e…2a44backed Rockets28c994.85$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.882025%5 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks59c992.01$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.011,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Bucks60c981.67$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.672231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Rockets42c981.42$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Bucks57c971.35$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.157143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5de…df2abacked Bucks50c946.76$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.381540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Rockets44c892.25$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.595347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Rockets73c879.59$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6462441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7feb…6be7backed Rockets55c819.31$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.261662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Rockets20c800$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Rockets24c800$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Rockets42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3366253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Rockets44c795.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks57c790.57$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Rockets21c767.22$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.577623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Rockets35c746.28$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.523956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Rockets23c714.97$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4323835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd08…ef3bbacked Bucks46c699.86$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.041723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x899b…fbdfbacked Rockets73c684.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Rockets42c666$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.726947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Bucks53c610.81$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.133938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Bucks45c605.86$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.864351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Rockets51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Bucks79c585.99$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2625939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks50c580.44$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5853…fb3abacked Bucks22c572.71$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.711442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x517c…3689backed Rockets22c571.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Bucks57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3228063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Bucks57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3218666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Rockets44c523.68$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…175ebacked Rockets43c511.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.023751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c61…f292backed Rockets43c499.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Rockets41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Bucks59c499.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9915945.9%73 W · 86 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Rockets43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Bucks22c454.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.554334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.