NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2382b18ab8cd054785e9cf992996f993e818415ef0f9835b439d90639e547d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Pacers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,714,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,778,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,714,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 70c | 399,999$282,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,999.84 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Thunder | 72c | 389,491$278,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,954.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Pacers | 29c | 384,081$110,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,314.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers | 29c | 357,200$103,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,314 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Pacers | 28c | 216,485$60,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,766.62 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Thunder | 71c | 207,560$146,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,689.91 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Thunder | 69c | 183,034$127,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,863.96 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Pacers | 29c | 167,515$48,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,579.49 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Pacers | 31c | 164,355$50,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Pacers | 22c | 148,072$32,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,938.17 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc642…565ebacked Thunder | 70c | 145,000$101,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 72c | 110,125$79,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,650.99 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cf…137cbacked Pacers | 25c | 90,263$22,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,305.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Thunder | 75c | 66,592$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,592.23 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Thunder | 71c | 60,000$42,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pacers | 30c | 59,335$17,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,800.53 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 71c | 59,270$42,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,101.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 76c | 54,637$41,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,004.83 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…1046backed Pacers | 26c | 53,573$13,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,747 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 71c | 48,710$34,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,125.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 75c | 44,715$33,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,335.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Thunder | 70c | 43,996$30,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,198.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Pacers | 29c | 43,700$12,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,673 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 71c | 41,733$29,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,050.05 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Thunder | 71c | 41,664$29,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,082.66 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pacers | 18c | 41,326$7,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.06 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pacers | 30c | 41,166$12,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,349.65 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Thunder | 71c | 41,120$29,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,938.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 70c | 40,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Pacers | 27c | 37,590$10,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,251.37 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Thunder | 72c | 34,654$24,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,769.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…5ba4backed Pacers | 30c | 33,333$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Pacers | 30c | 33,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6b…efd2backed Pacers | 3c | 32,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…ad91backed Pacers | 30c | 32,333$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Pacers | 4c | 31,745$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.31 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 71c | 30,426$21,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,815.67 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pacers | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pacers | 20c | 29,851$6,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.01 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Thunder | 71c | 28,000$19,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,119.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Pacers | 2c | 26,985$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.48 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Pacers | 23c | 25,685$5,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,806.24 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Thunder | 71c | 24,821$17,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,243.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 70c | 24,280$17,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,254.83 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Pacers | 0c | 23,675$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Thunder | 71c | 22,614$16,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…ab25backed Pacers | 7c | 22,392$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Pacers | 10c | 21,950$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.9 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Pacers | 0c | 20,666$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Thunder | 72c | 20,057$14,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.01 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Pacers | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Pacers | 31c | 19,532$6,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,055 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 71c | 19,464$13,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,644.46 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de2…e6c9backed Pacers | 30c | 19,421$5,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,826.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 2c | 19,000$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Thunder | 79c | 18,612$14,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 78c | 18,217$14,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.76 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 26c | 18,040$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 78c | 17,941$13,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.77 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Pacers | 29c | 17,709$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.41 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 29c | 17,320$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022.8 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Pacers | 30c | 17,207$5,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,162.15 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Pacers | 2c | 16,799$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.57 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…74dbbacked Pacers | 31c | 16,128$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Pacers | 19c | 15,282$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…657ebacked Thunder | 71c | 15,211$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Thunder | 79c | 15,121$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers | 29c | 15,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Pacers | 6c | 15,000$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.8 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Pacers | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.99 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Thunder | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…cad7backed Pacers | 2c | 14,936$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Pacers | 9c | 14,710$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…8cf6backed Pacers | 27c | 14,621$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Thunder | 72c | 14,578$10,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Thunder | 80c | 14,500$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Pacers | 29c | 14,012$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.41 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Thunder | 69c | 13,075$9,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Thunder | 71c | 12,910$9,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.76 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Pacers | 29c | 12,820$3,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 74c | 12,538$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,238.09 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.01 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Pacers | 0c | 12,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Pacers | 1c | 11,761$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Pacers | 2c | 11,130$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.45 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Pacers | 0c | 11,043$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Pacers | 1c | 10,825$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 70c | 10,300$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Pacers | 17c | 10,001$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.19 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Thunder | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Pacers | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…a2adbacked Pacers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…1368backed Pacers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8130…5a82backed Thunder | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Pacers | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Pacers | 12c | 9,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.94 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1219…862dbacked Pacers | 30c | 9,810$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Pacers | 29c | 9,685$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.64 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Thunder | 78c | 9,586$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.05 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…0771backed Pacers | 2c | 9,312$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Thunderthis page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.