NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7083751128bccc7250a5df686dcb9084ea3ef1af9afea1b2d533df9abc530ccc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ba…c0eebacked Over | 54c | 81,197$43,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,975.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Under | 46c | 72,173$33,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,920.92 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Under | 46c | 54,011$24,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,431.23 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 53c | 20,000$10,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,693.45 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Under | 47c | 11,537$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Under | 47c | 10,795$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,721.52 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 54c | 9,273$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005.2 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 46c | 8,009$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.52 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 47c | 6,430$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.65 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Over | 54c | 4,620$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.8 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…52c7backed Under | 48c | 4,102$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 53c | 3,523$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.19 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,620$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.43 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…89d6backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…9223backed Over | 53c | 1,241$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Under | 47c | 1,000$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 2c | 849.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Under | 48c | 755$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.15 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 640$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 623.8$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.13 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Over | 51c | 607.5$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.82 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Under | 47c | 600$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…be31backed Over | 52c | 499.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Over | 53c | 422.38$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.82 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7470…56c4backed Over | 52c | 416.29$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Over | 54c | 372$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Under | 47c | 360.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Under | 49c | 320$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Under | 48c | 215.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Under | 52c | 212.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Over | 48c | 209.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Over | 35c | 157.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…aa74backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Under | 80c | 119.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…c49cbacked Over | 20c | 114.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Over | 54c | 104.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Over | 19c | 102.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a5…41d5backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Under | 70c | 87.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…95b2backed Under | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 82.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Over | 52c | 55.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…5cf0backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…2efbbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 214.5this page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Pacers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.