NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x990c1d4b4e97e55a5e6c7bb1b7d66bc0802ba75e642296230f1dfb19ab6ef3d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 48c | 51,510$24,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,800.11 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Thunder | 48c | 32,398$15,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,884.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cf…137cbacked Pacers | 46c | 28,030$12,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,961.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pacers | 53c | 21,555$11,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,424.31 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 53c | 15,726$8,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,327.48 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pacers | 1c | 6,750$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers | 0c | 5,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Pacers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Pacers | 53c | 4,696$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Pacers | 54c | 3,975$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.7 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pacers | 52c | 3,312$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.17 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Pacers | 52c | 2,907$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.83 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…e29cbacked Pacers | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…8d15backed Pacers | 40c | 2,399$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,044$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.83 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,040$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d622backed Pacers | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Pacers | 16c | 1,729$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Thunder | 50c | 1,576$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.64 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 43c | 1,220$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.74 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Pacers | 52c | 1,101$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.63 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…89d6backed Pacers | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,031$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.17 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pacers | 6c | 968$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…5c6abacked Pacers | 53c | 947.04$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.89 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 40c | 905.97$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.76 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Pacers | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Pacers | 61c | 820.33$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pacers | 52c | 816.52$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.59 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Thunder | 69c | 811$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Thunder | 55c | 668.75$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.75 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Pacers | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…2a55backed Pacers | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…674dbacked Thunder | 48c | 584.15$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Thunder | 46c | 543.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.87 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7868…4567backed Thunder | 42c | 503.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pacers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc861…f0d1backed Pacers | 64c | 493.77$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Pacers | 5c | 450$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Thunder | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed Pacers | 11c | 400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pacers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Pacers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Pacers | 52c | 323$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 48c | 310.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Pacers | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…f011backed Pacers | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…8e31backed Pacers | 52c | 282.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pacers | 39c | 278.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Pacers | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…588ebacked Thunder | 49c | 268.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…bea5backed Pacers | 53c | 236.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed Pacers | 59c | 223$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Thunder | 59c | 221$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Pacers | 26c | 220$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Pacers | 52c | 211.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Thunder | 49c | 203.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Pacers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Pacers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Pacers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Pacers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…93e7backed Pacers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2c…107ebacked Pacers | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Pacers | 52c | 189.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Pacers | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…5eaabacked Pacers | 52c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…aa74backed Pacers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f2…f06ebacked Pacers | 53c | 113.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Thunder | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Pacers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e01…b429backed Pacers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Pacers | 63c | 89.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Thunder | 41c | 88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 52c | 80.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…abb8backed Pacers | 53c | 65.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…0f47backed Pacers | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Pacers | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Pacers | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pacers | 45c | 56.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…4a3cbacked Pacers | 58c | 53.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…5cf0backed Thunder | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e9…bddabacked Pacers | 49c | 50.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Thunder | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Thunder | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…eb97backed Pacers | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Pacers | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Pacers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Pacers | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…12b0backed Thunder | 49c | 30.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…b639backed Pacers | 58c | 25.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1c22backed Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Thunder | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Pacers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.