TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Spurs, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,885 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Mavericks76c13,487$10,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,293.749248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef8…1f8dbacked Spurs1c12,060$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.545714%8 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Spurs25c10,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ae…85c4backed Spurs29c7,526$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Mavericks73c5,132$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.7410058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs27c4,042$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.9847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Spurs23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204035%14 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…95b6backed Mavericks79c3,798$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.93100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks76c3,673$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Spurs4c2,341$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.864712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6a…596fbacked Mavericks72c2,274$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.61361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7966…3fa1backed Spurs24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks65c1,833$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.6670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…a0fabacked Spurs25c1,661$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed Mavericks78c1,285$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.71977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Mavericks75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503743.2%16 W · 21 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Mavericks76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24013857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Spurs23c999.94$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.998219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224c…eb44backed Mavericks78c993.34$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Mavericks79c987.08$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.871376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Spurs32c852.43$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9427939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Spurs25c781.32$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.332425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs22c759.04$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks61c747.21$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.411,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs35c611.11$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.671,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0952…786dbacked Mavericks77c581.91$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.842653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x367c…f5f5backed Spurs26c566.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Spurs34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Spurs16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Spurs38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19014852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2335…d7d5backed Spurs24c499.83$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc0…8c5ebacked Mavericks77c418.53$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.26366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Spurs22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Spurs25c399.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9814847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked Spurs25c388.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.552015%3 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8767…a37fbacked Mavericks79c380.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.771618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xad10…448ebacked Mavericks76c345.55$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba48…6d5fbacked Mavericks74c337.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c1…9c35backed Spurs24c337.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Spurs22c336.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.141533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8da9…7120backed Mavericks77c336.86$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.481471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87c5…4fa3backed Spurs30c333.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.944337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc60…3e66backed Mavericks76c333$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.281877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Spurs23c326.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs15c289.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Mavericks69c289.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.378347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Mavericks76c261.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.455166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4998…a8d7backed Mavericks77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Mavericks78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.418359%49 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Mavericks75c249.91$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.447958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5744…33d5backed Spurs25c244.07$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ab…a5dabacked Spurs24c228.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb14…a884backed Mavericks66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Spurs28c208.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2122430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed Spurs25c202.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb640…e0d5backed Spurs25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Spurs22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81e0…611dbacked Spurs23c173.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Mavericks76c170$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.58658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…16ebbacked Mavericks76c163.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.922774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6807…391ebacked Mavericks76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed Mavericks74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Spurs23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3577437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Spurs23c146.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.786141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Mavericks77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.875856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Mavericks77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.878537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x18fe…7f05backed Mavericks79c126.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0353…9741backed Mavericks79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Spurs20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.754944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Spurs30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Mavericks75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Spurs30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307119.7%14 W · 57 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks74c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeab…7afebacked Spurs24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Spurs28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Spurs27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Spurs28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa90…2be3backed Mavericks75c67.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9b…0f44backed Mavericks75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c63…ab50backed Mavericks78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8614…bdfabacked Spurs17c61.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Spurs33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Spurs18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Mavericks77c55.32$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8224462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9b…1770backed Spurs24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…b5a0backed Mavericks79c48.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15747.4%27 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f27…cc73backed Spurs33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Mavericks67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.783661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Spurs28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25932.2%19 W · 40 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x62a4…7770backed Mavericks76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Spurs27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Mavericks78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.462958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Mavericks71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1511952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs29c34.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e6…a1ffbacked Mavericks77c31.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Mavericks73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.413969.1%96 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7776…28a3backed Mavericks76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…ce8fbacked Mavericks76c23.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.