TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nuggets, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets55c11,139$6,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,052.747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Nets34c4,205$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.6927546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets44c4,042$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.2365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets47c3,217$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.0970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Nets33c2,020$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.688046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Nuggets67c1,834$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.156955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a24…f52dbacked Nets38c1,701$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35cb…b439backed Nuggets66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets41c1,354$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.5861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Nuggets65c1,343$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.124337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe7…ac7bbacked Nets37c1,314$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Nets80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003743.2%16 W · 21 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Nuggets67c1,176$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.122556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Nets36c1,155$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4112142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nuggets52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.1127041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7884…f94cbacked Nets36c1,113$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Nuggets67c1,078$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.72254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc275…43d7backed Nuggets66c1,061$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Nets36c1,059$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3773053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Nuggets63c1,057$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.549248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets64c1,057$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets38c1,009$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.41,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Nets33c971.94$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.82045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd458…b4cdbacked Nets2c952.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Nets48c948.63$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45127939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Nuggets58c900$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3754045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Nuggets64c834.46$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9810334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Nuggets54c738.39$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.661127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nuggets60c735.8$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5126547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe758…caefbacked Nuggets66c708.03$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Nets15c700$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10327642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8457…a634backed Nets36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Nuggets67c683.76$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.648952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98a…2a0cbacked Nets36c619.4$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.452040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebd…b9b1backed Nuggets65c584.62$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets49c581$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.691,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0453134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked Nuggets50c498.01$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.011850%9 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets11c489.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Nets71c464.93$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Nets34c460.56$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.594257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c2e…5633backed Nuggets66c457.08$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+784%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed Nets34c437.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Nets39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c9…db91backed Nuggets66c392.15$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb456…f437backed Nets36c392.14$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.17580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+85.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde3…9d76backed Nets46c377.96$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.740%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nuggets66c368.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.466152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0150…a67abacked Nuggets47c339.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.482458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nuggets43c316.88$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3818316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x367c…f5f5backed Nuggets64c312.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.052450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nuggets65c309.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.529635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc12…1e02backed Nuggets59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1233354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Nuggets61c297.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.358347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb8…8027backed Nuggets37c270.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Nuggets64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1999…fedbbacked Nets63c245.51$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.671656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+58.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9347…b5d7backed Nets35c237.14$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Nets21c230$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.011675%12 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Nuggets67c229.21$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.647346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Nuggets48c216.1$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.576851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4b…1914backed Nets37c200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…18a7backed Nets34c190.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Nuggets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbc2…c8e7backed Nets33c187$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Nuggets29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4115149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0227…53b4backed Nets61c170.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d3…7a61backed Nuggets76c156.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.821457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c1…05f0backed Nets35c153.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Nuggets65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.514852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Nets35c149.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.497337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc60…3e66backed Nuggets70c144.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.491877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f8…19f8backed Nuggets66c143.94$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Nuggets68c142.65$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.654854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Nuggets71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…0717backed Nuggets67c132.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c3…c1a8backed Nets33c130.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.231250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b8…1f22backed Nets37c126.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets59c121.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.951,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2480…84febacked Nets36c121.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets33c103.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36ed…6950backed Nets34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9369…2782backed Nuggets66c101.95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Nuggets40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6024336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Nuggets66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f34…cfafbacked Nuggets10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903129%9 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+71.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x955f…17d4backed Nuggets66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Nets32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3277437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Nets53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5319137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Nuggets56c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.54944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c37…1926backed Nuggets67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Nuggets64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Nuggets70c95.27$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28fe…8e29backed Nuggets68c95.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb883…21b8backed Nuggets38c94.48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Nuggets55c93.81$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2222832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a85…18e2backed Nets57c87.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c32…4958backed Nuggets67c87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Nuggets47c85.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.822560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.