TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks20c5,537$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd10…0d30backed Mavericks6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceab…bbfabacked Rockets30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.891861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e49…2d2dbacked Mavericks69c1,800$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.71050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Mavericks71c1,656$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1752254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Rockets32c1,654$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.562556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Mavericks41c1,457$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.858334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rockets31c1,401$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.7136748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Mavericks69c1,360$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.3410462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks8c1,151$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.341,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Rockets29c1,108$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.679248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Rockets32c1,046$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.215034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54b…d268backed Mavericks32c1,011$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.213528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x738d…4df6backed Mavericks21c904.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.694524.4%11 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…edfbbacked Mavericks16c800$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks37c775.58$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.1365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Mavericks56c720.68$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Rockets36c700$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4484341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80f0…5576backed Rockets30c699.94$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.961478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+85%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3fb1…73eebacked Mavericks68c663$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.84825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Mavericks18c658.16$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.424729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Rockets49c589.7$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.727939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x442b…5410backed Mavericks51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Rockets74c477$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb26e…3948backed Rockets32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…eb89backed Mavericks70c468.57$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Rockets29c452.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.046943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks3c439.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Mavericks32c437.41$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9724336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7afc…84e3backed Mavericks9c425.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Rockets29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28412247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d61…f6febacked Rockets30c399.96$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.971040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Rockets30c383.34$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3414129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Mavericks32c360$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.44944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcc4…28b8backed Mavericks70c322.86$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3add…a76dbacked Rockets31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.58540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Rockets31c309.59$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Mavericks70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Mavericks51c291.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb9…442cbacked Rockets75c287.28$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Mavericks70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18fe…7f05backed Rockets70c284.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Mavericks4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Rockets28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Mavericks72c216.67$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7403…102bbacked Mavericks35c213.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741450%7 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Mavericks60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Mavericks68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Mavericks69c199.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.981533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Rockets29c194.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.26141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Mavericks16c188.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.96434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Mavericks9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa17…b1ecbacked Rockets31c160$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Rockets69c155$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.658436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Mavericks33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c56…dfa1backed Mavericks35c143.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.752425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Mavericks70c143.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.367346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Mavericks70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Mavericks70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Mavericks70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Rockets34c141.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.356259.7%37 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Rockets29c140$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.420233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x082c…af7cbacked Rockets32c139.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+213.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0952…786dbacked Mavericks72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd941…a1d0backed Mavericks20c126.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Mavericks22c124.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.354837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x910b…8b73backed Mavericks70c116.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2155…0416backed Mavericks13c112.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62544%11 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Mavericks31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.785449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Mavericks19c107.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks66c105.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd31…f196backed Mavericks31c100.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.323148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Mavericks68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Mavericks70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb14…f690backed Mavericks69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+124.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Mavericks70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3dc…92e9backed Mavericks12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Mavericks10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Rockets30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7077437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Rockets59c99.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4123359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0124…2feabacked Mavericks70c85.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea75…3002backed Mavericks70c84.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Rockets31c81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8934644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf75…d8dfbacked Mavericks70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaaf…a2e3backed Mavericks70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8a…944fbacked Rockets32c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+62.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe1…7a5bbacked Mavericks72c69.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x367c…f5f5backed Mavericks72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…d396backed Mavericks70c67.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.22366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3447…fbf7backed Mavericks32c62.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+79.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b6a…d29ebacked Mavericks16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1dc…ec54backed Mavericks72c60.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rockets45c55.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.331,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa016…ef9fbacked Rockets77c53.72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+108.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Rockets63c53.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.741553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4442…d5c1backed Rockets31c51.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa376…6fe3backed Mavericks70c50.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-70.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.