NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be73921c901b7f460365fca6b1b35ed657889cb81f612a48d92ab6e35db1513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Bucks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 77c | 9,720$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.07 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Celtics | 78c | 3,846$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.15 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Bucks | 23c | 3,079$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 75c | 2,846$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.41 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Bucks | 3c | 2,446$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 21c | 2,350$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.46 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 23c | 2,100$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.09 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Bucks | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Bucks | 22c | 1,963$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.69 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 77c | 1,620$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.96 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Bucks | 22c | 1,460$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Bucks | 26c | 1,448$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.19 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Bucks | 22c | 1,173$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Bucks | 19c | 999.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Bucks | 19c | 946.32$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…461bbacked Bucks | 22c | 825.23$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1b…753cbacked Bucks | 22c | 690.91$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…627bbacked Celtics | 80c | 688.22$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bucks | 21c | 651$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…ea75backed Bucks | 24c | 624.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Bucks | 19c | 600.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Bucks | 29c | 549.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…3948backed Bucks | 23c | 438.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Bucks | 23c | 431.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…92c9backed Bucks | 24c | 430.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…1625backed Bucks | 24c | 405.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…da23backed Bucks | 24c | 404.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…5376backed Bucks | 24c | 402.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…6f3fbacked Bucks | 24c | 400.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Celtics | 77c | 399.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Bucks | 35c | 375.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bucks | 26c | 369.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Bucks | 26c | 369$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Bucks | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Bucks | 18c | 334.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Celtics | 79c | 332.22$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Bucks | 31c | 330.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.39 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Bucks | 14c | 307.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Celtics | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bucks | 30c | 262.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Bucks | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Celtics | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Bucks | 10c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…9c8ebacked Bucks | 21c | 225.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…8b32backed Bucks | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…e46ebacked Bucks | 21c | 176.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…c3fdbacked Celtics | 79c | 171.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Bucks | 30c | 167.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bucks | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Bucks | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…9542backed Bucks | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Celtics | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Celtics | 67c | 149.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Bucks | 34c | 147.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Bucks | 27c | 146.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Bucks | 16c | 130.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed Celtics | 80c | 125.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Celtics | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 70c | 109.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Celtics | 73c | 106.79$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5023…3f6abacked Celtics | 79c | 105.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Celtics | 77c | 104.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Celtics | 80c | 102.39$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Celtics | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Celtics | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bucks | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Bucks | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Celtics | 78c | 99.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Bucks | 20c | 99.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2c98backed Bucks | 36c | 97.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd343…aedfbacked Bucks | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Celtics | 65c | 76.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Celtics | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Bucks | 33c | 68.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 20c | 65.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Celtics | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Celtics | 64c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Bucks | 23c | 57.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…4937backed Celtics | 73c | 52.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Celtics | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b3c5backed Bucks | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4004…fa48backed Bucks | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Bucks | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Bucks | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Bucks | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Bucks | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…6946backed Celtics | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…8959backed Celtics | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…3e14backed Celtics | 79c | 40.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Bucks | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…a72dbacked Bucks | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Bucks | 33c | 39.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…3374backed Celtics | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…8a75backed Bucks | 38c | 36.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…a8d7backed Celtics | 79c | 29.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…7c89backed Celtics | 79c | 26.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.