TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cc9…3b7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST9754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.18
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.13
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.18
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+44%+$12.09
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.96
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+134.8%+$14.82
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.7
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.23
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.12
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.32
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.18
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.05
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+46.4%+$9.1
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+83.3%+$8.83
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+62.4%+$8.11
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$9.16
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.62
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+100.2%+$14.03
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Noche UFC: Garcia vs. Gordonbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+165.6%+$21.52
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$17.27
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
UFC 317 Parlay: Topuria + Pantojabacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+51.8%+$8.96
Florida Gators vs. Kentuckybacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Vanderbilt vs. Alabamabacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Arizona State vs. Baylorbacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$6.8
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+150.5%+$22.58
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will Georgia beat Tennessee?backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$13
CFB: Clemson vs. Virginia Techbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.41
CFB: Iowa State vs. Kansasbacked Iowa St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Will South Carolina beat Texas A&M?backed Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$13
Will Kansas State beat Kansas?backed K St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+33.1%+$5.68
Will Penn State beat Wisconsin?backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$10.12
Will UCF beat BYU?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+55.7%+$11.07
Will Alabama beat Tennessee?backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Will Penn St. beat USC?backed Penn St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Will Texas beat Oklahoma?backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Will Pittsburgh beat California?backed Pitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$7.02
Will LSU beat USC?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+100%+$10
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$5.39
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$506.81
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$26
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+25%+$25
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+104.7%+$14.77
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.68
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+66.4%+$27.57
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+72%+$15.29
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2024, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fulham vs. Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+36.8%+$9.19
Will Brentford win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Bournemouth beat Southampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Manchester United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tottenham beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+130%+$35.31
Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool beat Wolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+44.6%+$27.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+139.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Monaco beat Dinamo Zagreb?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+100.5%+$66.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$44.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.