TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings80c4,838$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.6847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Kings74c3,892$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.854050%20 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz9c3,859$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jazz29c3,800$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.9927546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc12…1e02backed Jazz20c2,854$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.153354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Jazz29c2,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.9513857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jazz29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz7c1,101$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.121,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Kings69c979.71$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.712231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Jazz34c963.12$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18fe…7f05backed Kings71c938.15$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61e9…df4cbacked Jazz31c902.13$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb456…f437backed Kings71c882.35$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+85.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20c9…db91backed Jazz31c882.32$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a9…36bbbacked Jazz25c801.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Jazz7c800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Jazz9c751.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.634729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings67c733.15$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Jazz31c732.36$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23027939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Jazz32c717.77$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.610334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Kings71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2316553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76a0…9dedbacked Kings71c648.79$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed Kings69c551.12$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6d…ec40backed Jazz3c480$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff76…5163backed Jazz28c471.17$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc3…0915backed Jazz25c470.36$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0150…a67abacked Jazz18c442.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Kings71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.544854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x690e…ff86backed Jazz30c392.13$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c57…9c22backed Kings69c350.98$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Jazz15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfd6…9bb8backed Jazz31c307.42$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d0…034abacked Kings71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0227…53b4backed Jazz6c289.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6283…0cf9backed Kings71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Jazz18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc380…8640backed Kings71c255.18$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Kings70c249.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked Jazz9c239.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2116325.2%41 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Kings66c234.01$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.562560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Jazz30c233.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Kings70c228.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.578347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fa…4bbebacked Kings71c220$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.82254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Jazz29c210.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.579248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Jazz12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c7…053ebacked Jazz29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff0…f4f4backed Kings71c196.07$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.86850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2196…3d68backed Jazz31c196.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Jazz31c179.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.87337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…1b79backed Jazz29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50205%1 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick18cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Jazz30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Jazz19c165$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.95721.1%12 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4b…1914backed Jazz31c154.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings67c149.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.471,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf28…b8d0backed Jazz14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Kings70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d40…20fbbacked Kings70c141.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Kings71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Kings71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8536449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3a…4968backed Kings71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba1e…0c13backed Jazz26c129.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…84febacked Jazz34c126.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jazz32c111.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff9c…2c98backed Jazz30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Kings72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Kings66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5db3…1773backed Jazz31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d66…dfc6backed Jazz31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…f213backed Kings69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb564…5ce9backed Kings71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Jazz31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3177437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d7…93b4backed Kings70c89.04$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.711384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Jazz19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b6…5ac3backed Jazz31c74.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a6…9879backed Kings69c73.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff24…c1c7backed Jazz33c72.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Kings70c71.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4814057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf75…d8dfbacked Kings70c71.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0bd…3e91backed Kings70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Kings69c64.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.151747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde0…c1acbacked Kings68c64.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d99…4767backed Jazz30c55.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fa…43adbacked Kings72c52.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.821560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab1…b2b1backed Kings70c50.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.12548%12 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick65cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Jazz30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz32c47.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aeb…b5febacked Jazz33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…96cdbacked Kings67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa767…47febacked Jazz31c44.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c63…ab50backed Kings70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.862548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc9…3b7abacked Kings71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaaf…a2e3backed Kings71c40.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.851070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…a1e0backed Kings71c38.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.032356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf483…1becbacked Kings72c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Kings68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.762445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…3e14backed Kings69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Kings78c35.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.98537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa187…a526backed Kings71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212060%12 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fd…c8dfbacked Jazz30c34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.